Aci Worldwide Stock Price Prediction
| ACIW Stock | USD 56.82 0.16 0.28% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.207 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.91 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.286 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.55 | Wall Street Target Price 64.2 |
Using ACI Worldwide hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ACI Worldwide from the perspective of ACI Worldwide response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
ACI Worldwide Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ACI Worldwide's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ACI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ACI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ACI Worldwide. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ACI Worldwide's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ACI Worldwide.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ACI Worldwide to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ACI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ACI Worldwide after-hype prediction price | USD 56.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ACI |
ACI Worldwide After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ACI Worldwide at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ACI Worldwide or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ACI Worldwide, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ACI Worldwide Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ACI Worldwide's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ACI Worldwide's historical news coverage. ACI Worldwide's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.04 and 58.26, respectively. We have considered ACI Worldwide's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ACI Worldwide is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ACI Worldwide is based on 3 months time horizon.
ACI Worldwide Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ACI Worldwide is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ACI Worldwide backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ACI Worldwide, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.11 | 0.67 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
56.82 | 56.15 | 1.18 |
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ACI Worldwide Hype Timeline
ACI Worldwide is presently traded for 56.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.67, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. ACI is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 56.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 82.42%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.18%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on ACI Worldwide is about 2131.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.85. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of ACI Worldwide was presently reported as 12.68. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. ACI Worldwide had 3:1 split on the 11th of July 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out ACI Worldwide Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ACI Worldwide Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ACI Worldwide's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ACI Worldwide's future price movements. Getting to know how ACI Worldwide's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ACI Worldwide may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NTCT | NetScout Systems | (0.22) | 11 per month | 1.76 | (0.03) | 3.23 | (2.84) | 10.35 | |
| CCSI | Consensus Cloud Solutions | (0.30) | 8 per month | 2.43 | 0.01 | 4.16 | (3.62) | 20.68 | |
| CSGS | CSG Systems International | 2.36 | 9 per month | 0.89 | 0.06 | 2.65 | (1.69) | 10.94 | |
| ESMT | EngageSmart LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.90 | (0.01) | 3.90 | (2.93) | 9.34 | |
| FORG | ForgeRock | (0.30) | 36 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.78 | (1.49) | 6.71 | |
| RELY | Remitly Global | (0.46) | 11 per month | 0.92 | 0.19 | 4.10 | (2.07) | 20.30 | |
| EVCM | EverCommerce | (0.15) | 9 per month | 1.67 | 0.06 | 3.46 | (2.45) | 13.03 | |
| GB | Global Blue Group | (0.05) | 7 per month | 3.54 | 0.07 | 6.48 | (5.13) | 23.79 | |
| EVTC | Evertec | 0.17 | 10 per month | 1.61 | (0.01) | 2.43 | (2.66) | 8.27 | |
| STER | Sterling Check Corp | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.93 | (0.04) | 1.77 | (1.22) | 7.04 |
ACI Worldwide Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ACI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ACI using various technical indicators. When you analyze ACI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ACI Worldwide Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ACI Worldwide stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ACI Worldwide, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ACI Worldwide based on analysis of ACI Worldwide hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ACI Worldwide's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ACI Worldwide's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0051 | 0.004534 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.29 | 3.0 |
Story Coverage note for ACI Worldwide
The number of cover stories for ACI Worldwide depends on current market conditions and ACI Worldwide's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ACI Worldwide is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ACI Worldwide's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ACI Worldwide Short Properties
ACI Worldwide's future price predictability will typically decrease when ACI Worldwide's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ACI Worldwide often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ACI Worldwide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ACI Worldwide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 164.2 M |
Additional Tools for ACI Stock Analysis
When running ACI Worldwide's price analysis, check to measure ACI Worldwide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ACI Worldwide is operating at the current time. Most of ACI Worldwide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ACI Worldwide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ACI Worldwide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ACI Worldwide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.