Federal Agricultural Mortgage Stock Price Prediction
| AGM-A Stock | USD 160.00 1.79 1.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
Using Federal Agricultural hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Federal Agricultural Mortgage from the perspective of Federal Agricultural response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Federal Agricultural to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Federal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Federal Agricultural after-hype prediction price | USD 185.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Federal |
Federal Agricultural After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Federal Agricultural at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Federal Agricultural or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Federal Agricultural, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Federal Agricultural Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Federal Agricultural's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Federal Agricultural's historical news coverage. Federal Agricultural's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.29 and 16,186, respectively. We have considered Federal Agricultural's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Federal Agricultural is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Federal Agricultural is based on 3 months time horizon.
Federal Agricultural Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Federal Agricultural is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Federal Agricultural backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Federal Agricultural, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
17.27 | 138.29 | 25.73 | 0.81 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
160.00 | 185.73 | 16.08 |
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Federal Agricultural Hype Timeline
Federal Agricultural is presently traded for 160.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 25.73, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.81. Federal is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 185.73 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 16.08%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 17.27%. The volatility of related hype on Federal Agricultural is about 296335.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 160.81. Federal Agricultural Mortgage has accumulated 27.69 B in total debt. Federal Agricultural has a current ratio of 1.15, suggesting that it is in a questionable position to pay out its financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Federal Agricultural's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.Federal Agricultural Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Federal Agricultural's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Federal Agricultural's future price movements. Getting to know how Federal Agricultural's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Federal Agricultural may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AGM-PD | Federal Agricultural Mortgage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.12 | (1.64) | 3.55 | |
| AGM-PG | Federal Agricultural Mortgage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.57 | (1.72) | 5.44 | |
| AGM-PE | Federal Agricultural Mortgage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.40) | 0.55 | (0.64) | 1.84 | |
| AGM-PF | Federal Agricultural Mortgage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.20 | (1.65) | 3.94 | |
| IX | Orix Corp Ads | (0.83) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.10 | (2.89) | 7.11 | |
| ATLCP | Atlanticus Holdings Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.34 | (0.04) | 1.24 | (0.87) | 2.71 | |
| NNI | Nelnet Inc | 0.97 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.71 | (2.08) | 15.36 | |
| ASFZ | Associates First Capital | 0.28 | 15 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AGRIP | AgriBank FCB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.75 | (1.26) | 5.28 |
Federal Agricultural Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Federal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Federal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Federal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Federal Agricultural Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Federal Agricultural stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Federal Agricultural Mortgage, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federal Agricultural based on analysis of Federal Agricultural hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Federal Agricultural's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Federal Agricultural's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.046 | 0.056 | 0.0361 | 0.0648 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.58 | 3.93 | 5.93 | 6.06 |
Story Coverage note for Federal Agricultural
The number of cover stories for Federal Agricultural depends on current market conditions and Federal Agricultural's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Federal Agricultural is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Federal Agricultural's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Federal Agricultural Short Properties
Federal Agricultural's future price predictability will typically decrease when Federal Agricultural's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Federal Agricultural Mortgage often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Federal Agricultural's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal Agricultural's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 B |
Complementary Tools for Federal Stock analysis
When running Federal Agricultural's price analysis, check to measure Federal Agricultural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Agricultural is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Agricultural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Agricultural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Agricultural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Agricultural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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