Aptorum Group Ltd Stock Price Prediction
| APM Stock | USD 0.71 0.04 5.52% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
23
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.64) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.84) | Wall Street Target Price 80 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.27) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (1.00) |
Using Aptorum Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aptorum Group Ltd from the perspective of Aptorum Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aptorum Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aptorum because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aptorum Group after-hype prediction price | USD 0.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aptorum |
Aptorum Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aptorum Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aptorum Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aptorum Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aptorum Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aptorum Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aptorum Group's historical news coverage. Aptorum Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 8.69, respectively. We have considered Aptorum Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aptorum Group is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aptorum Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aptorum Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aptorum Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aptorum Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aptorum Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.90 | 8.16 | 0.10 | 1.10 | 4 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.71 | 0.61 | 13.72 |
|
Aptorum Group Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November Aptorum Group is traded for 0.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.1. Aptorum is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.61. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -13.72%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -1.9%. The volatility of related hype on Aptorum Group is about 1404.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.39. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.16. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aptorum Group recorded a loss per share of 0.62. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 23rd of January 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Aptorum Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aptorum Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aptorum Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aptorum Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Aptorum Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aptorum Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DRUG | Bright Minds Biosciences | (9.63) | 9 per month | 4.62 | 0.14 | 9.23 | (11.87) | 1,471 | |
| HPQ | HP Inc | 0.51 | 9 per month | 1.62 | 0.02 | 2.22 | (2.63) | 6.13 | |
| INTC | Intel | (0.30) | 6 per month | 2.58 | 0.06 | 6.36 | (3.50) | 18.29 | |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 1.42 | 6 per month | 1.05 | 0.02 | 2.21 | (1.79) | 5.13 | |
| KO | The Coca Cola | 0.69 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 1.11 | (1.66) | 4.00 | |
| TRV | The Travelers Companies | (0.41) | 7 per month | 1.17 | 0.09 | 1.93 | (2.17) | 11.31 | |
| JNJ | Johnson Johnson | 0.08 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.40 | (1.42) | 3.25 | |
| JPM | JPMorgan Chase Co | (2.36) | 8 per month | 1.42 | 0.05 | 2.05 | (2.00) | 15.87 | |
| MSFT | Microsoft | 4.77 | 8 per month | 1.49 | (0.05) | 2.09 | (1.85) | 8.19 |
Aptorum Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aptorum price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aptorum using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aptorum charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aptorum Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aptorum Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aptorum Group Ltd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aptorum Group based on analysis of Aptorum Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aptorum Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aptorum Group's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008842 | 0.007859 | Price To Sales Ratio | 25.68 | 24.39 |
Story Coverage note for Aptorum Group
The number of cover stories for Aptorum Group depends on current market conditions and Aptorum Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aptorum Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aptorum Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Aptorum Group Short Properties
Aptorum Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aptorum Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aptorum Group Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aptorum Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aptorum Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 M |
Check out Aptorum Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aptorum Group. If investors know Aptorum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aptorum Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.62) | Revenue Per Share 0.095 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (1.00) | Return On Assets (0.32) | Return On Equity (0.37) |
The market value of Aptorum Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aptorum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aptorum Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aptorum Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aptorum Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aptorum Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aptorum Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aptorum Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aptorum Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.