Autozone Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 2,716 2,717 3,509 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 3,144 3,146 3,147 Details

29 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 2,593 2,850 3,163 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 28.46 29.90 31.15 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AutoZone. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AutoZone's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AutoZone's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AutoZone.

AutoZone After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

AutoZone Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

AutoZone Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.01	1.33	0.74	0.00	8 Events / Month	8 Events / Month	In about 8 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
3,190	3,190	0.00	1.80   Notes

AutoZone Hype Timeline

On the 28th of November AutoZone is traded for 3,190. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.74, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. AutoZone is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 1.8%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on AutoZone is about 2607.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3,190. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.69. AutoZone recorded earning per share (EPS) of 149.66. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2010. The firm had 2:1 split on the 21st of April 1994. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out AutoZone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in AutoZone Stock, please use our How to Invest in AutoZone guide.

AutoZone Related Hype Analysis

AutoZone Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AutoZone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AutoZone using various technical indicators. When you analyze AutoZone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of AutoZone stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AutoZone, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AutoZone based on analysis of AutoZone hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for AutoZone depends on current market conditions and AutoZone's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AutoZone is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AutoZone's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

AutoZone's future price predictability will typically decrease when AutoZone's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AutoZone often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AutoZone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AutoZone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out AutoZone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in AutoZone Stock, please use our How to Invest in AutoZone guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AutoZone. If investors know AutoZone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AutoZone listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of AutoZone is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AutoZone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AutoZone's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AutoZone's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AutoZone's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AutoZone's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between AutoZone's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AutoZone is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AutoZone's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.