Braemar Hotel Resorts Stock Price Prediction
| BHR Stock | USD 3.44 0.11 3.10% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
76
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.011 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.33) | Wall Street Target Price 3.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.48) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using Braemar Hotel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Braemar Hotel Resorts from the perspective of Braemar Hotel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Braemar Hotel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Braemar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Braemar Hotel after-hype prediction price | USD 3.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Braemar |
Braemar Hotel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Braemar Hotel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Braemar Hotel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Braemar Hotel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Braemar Hotel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Braemar Hotel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Braemar Hotel's historical news coverage. Braemar Hotel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.40 and 6.50, respectively. We have considered Braemar Hotel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Braemar Hotel is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Braemar Hotel Resorts is based on 3 months time horizon.
Braemar Hotel Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Braemar Hotel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Braemar Hotel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Braemar Hotel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 3.05 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.44 | 3.45 | 0.29 |
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Braemar Hotel Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November Braemar Hotel Resorts is traded for 3.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Braemar is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.45 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Braemar Hotel is about 8714.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.45. The company reported the last year's revenue of 739.34 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (27.02 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 199.5 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Braemar Hotel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Braemar Hotel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Braemar Hotel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Braemar Hotel's future price movements. Getting to know how Braemar Hotel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Braemar Hotel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DRH | Diamondrock Hospitality | 0.10 | 7 per month | 1.26 | (0) | 2.25 | (2.27) | 9.19 | |
| RHP | Ryman Hospitality Properties | (0.10) | 8 per month | 0.87 | 0.07 | 1.94 | (1.74) | 7.06 | |
| SHO | Sunstone Hotel Investors | 0.04 | 8 per month | 1.31 | (0.02) | 3.05 | (2.51) | 7.79 | |
| INN | Summit Hotel Properties | 0.1 | 8 per month | 1.62 | (0.06) | 3.37 | (2.41) | 10.45 |
Braemar Hotel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Braemar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Braemar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Braemar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Braemar Hotel Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Braemar Hotel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Braemar Hotel Resorts, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Braemar Hotel based on analysis of Braemar Hotel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Braemar Hotel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Braemar Hotel's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0338 | 0.0725 | 0.32 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.63 | 0.43 | 0.22 |
Story Coverage note for Braemar Hotel
The number of cover stories for Braemar Hotel depends on current market conditions and Braemar Hotel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Braemar Hotel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Braemar Hotel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Braemar Hotel Short Properties
Braemar Hotel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Braemar Hotel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Braemar Hotel Resorts often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Braemar Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Braemar Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 85.6 M |
Additional Tools for Braemar Stock Analysis
When running Braemar Hotel's price analysis, check to measure Braemar Hotel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Braemar Hotel is operating at the current time. Most of Braemar Hotel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Braemar Hotel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Braemar Hotel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Braemar Hotel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.