Bioxcel Therapeutics Stock Price Prediction
| BTAI Stock | USD 0.41 0.04 8.89% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.53) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.57) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.36) | Wall Street Target Price 4.2 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.54) |
Using BioXcel Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BioXcel Therapeutics from the perspective of BioXcel Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BioXcel Therapeutics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BioXcel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BioXcel Therapeutics after-hype prediction price | USD 0.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BioXcel |
BioXcel Therapeutics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BioXcel Therapeutics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BioXcel Therapeutics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BioXcel Therapeutics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BioXcel Therapeutics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BioXcel Therapeutics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BioXcel Therapeutics' historical news coverage. BioXcel Therapeutics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 6.70, respectively. We have considered BioXcel Therapeutics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BioXcel Therapeutics is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BioXcel Therapeutics is based on 3 months time horizon.
BioXcel Therapeutics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BioXcel Therapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BioXcel Therapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BioXcel Therapeutics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 6.27 | 0.02 | 0.61 | 10 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.41 | 0.43 | 4.88 |
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BioXcel Therapeutics Hype Timeline
BioXcel Therapeutics is currently traded for 0.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.61. BioXcel is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.43 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 4.88%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.46%. The volatility of related hype on BioXcel Therapeutics is about 474.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.02. BioXcel Therapeutics currently holds about 233.45 M in cash with (155.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.33, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out BioXcel Therapeutics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BioXcel Therapeutics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BioXcel Therapeutics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BioXcel Therapeutics' future price movements. Getting to know how BioXcel Therapeutics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BioXcel Therapeutics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
BioXcel Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BioXcel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BioXcel using various technical indicators. When you analyze BioXcel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About BioXcel Therapeutics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BioXcel Therapeutics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BioXcel Therapeutics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BioXcel Therapeutics based on analysis of BioXcel Therapeutics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BioXcel Therapeutics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BioXcel Therapeutics's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 0.0923 | 0.0969 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 576.76 | 547.92 |
Story Coverage note for BioXcel Therapeutics
The number of cover stories for BioXcel Therapeutics depends on current market conditions and BioXcel Therapeutics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BioXcel Therapeutics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BioXcel Therapeutics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BioXcel Therapeutics Short Properties
BioXcel Therapeutics' future price predictability will typically decrease when BioXcel Therapeutics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BioXcel Therapeutics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BioXcel Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BioXcel Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 65.2 M |
Complementary Tools for BioXcel Stock analysis
When running BioXcel Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure BioXcel Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BioXcel Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of BioXcel Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BioXcel Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BioXcel Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BioXcel Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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