Cal Maine Foods Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 75.98 77.71 106.87 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 99.05 100.78 102.50 Details

2 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 45.05 49.50 54.95 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 3.16 3.03 3.16 Details

Cal Maine After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Cal Maine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Cal Maine Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.51	1.74	0.08	0.04	8 Events / Month	7 Events / Month	In about 8 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
97.15	97.07	0.08	1,160   Notes

Cal Maine Hype Timeline

Cal Maine Foods is currently traded for 97.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Cal is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 97.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.51%. The volatility of related hype on Cal Maine is about 2209.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 97.11. About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Cal Maine was currently reported as 38.8. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.75. Cal Maine Foods recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.73. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of October 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 3rd of November 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Cal Maine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Cal Maine Related Hype Analysis

Cal Maine Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Cal Maine stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cal Maine Foods, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cal Maine based on analysis of Cal Maine hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Cal Maine depends on current market conditions and Cal Maine's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cal Maine is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cal Maine's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Cal Maine's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cal Maine's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cal Maine Foods often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cal Maine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cal Maine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out Cal Maine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cal Maine. If investors know Cal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cal Maine listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Cal Maine Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cal Maine's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cal Maine's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cal Maine's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cal Maine's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Cal Maine's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cal Maine is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cal Maine's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.