Cracker Barrel Old Stock Price Prediction
CBRL Stock | USD 52.76 0.81 1.56% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.83 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.11 | Wall Street Target Price 43.5714 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.1 |
Using Cracker Barrel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cracker Barrel Old from the perspective of Cracker Barrel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Cracker Barrel Old Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cracker Barrel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cracker. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cracker can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cracker Barrel Old. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cracker Barrel's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cracker Barrel.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cracker Barrel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cracker because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cracker Barrel after-hype prediction price | USD 51.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cracker |
Cracker Barrel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cracker Barrel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cracker Barrel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cracker Barrel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Cracker Barrel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cracker Barrel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cracker Barrel's historical news coverage. Cracker Barrel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.56 and 55.00, respectively. We have considered Cracker Barrel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cracker Barrel is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cracker Barrel Old is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cracker Barrel Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cracker Barrel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cracker Barrel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cracker Barrel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 3.22 | 1.00 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
52.76 | 51.78 | 1.86 |
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Cracker Barrel Hype Timeline
Cracker Barrel Old is currently traded for 52.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.0, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Cracker is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 51.78. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 166.84%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.86%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Cracker Barrel is about 5065.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 52.79. About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Cracker Barrel was currently reported as 19.82. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.5. Cracker Barrel Old last dividend was issued on the 18th of October 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 22nd of March 1993. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Cracker Barrel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cracker Barrel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cracker Barrel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cracker Barrel's future price movements. Getting to know how Cracker Barrel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cracker Barrel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Cracker Barrel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cracker price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cracker using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cracker charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
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Pattern Recognition | ||
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Volume Indicators |
About Cracker Barrel Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cracker Barrel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cracker Barrel Old, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cracker Barrel based on analysis of Cracker Barrel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cracker Barrel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cracker Barrel's related companies. 2011 | 2014 | 2019 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.031 | 0.0467 | 0.12 | 0.0359 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.86 | 1.35 | 0.27 | 1.05 |
Story Coverage note for Cracker Barrel
The number of cover stories for Cracker Barrel depends on current market conditions and Cracker Barrel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cracker Barrel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cracker Barrel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cracker Barrel Short Properties
Cracker Barrel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cracker Barrel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cracker Barrel Old often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cracker Barrel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cracker Barrel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.3 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 12 M |
Check out Cracker Barrel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cracker Barrel. If investors know Cracker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cracker Barrel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Dividend Share 4.15 | Earnings Share 1.83 | Revenue Per Share 156.397 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.069 |
The market value of Cracker Barrel Old is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cracker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cracker Barrel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cracker Barrel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cracker Barrel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cracker Barrel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cracker Barrel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cracker Barrel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cracker Barrel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.