Cidara Therapeutics Stock Price Prediction
| CDTX Stock | USD 20.20 0.61 3.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (3.75) | EPS Estimate Current Year (25.10) | EPS Estimate Next Year (9.95) | Wall Street Target Price 27.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (4.25) |
Using Cidara Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cidara Therapeutics from the perspective of Cidara Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cidara Therapeutics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cidara because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cidara Therapeutics after-hype prediction price | USD 20.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cidara |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cidara Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cidara Therapeutics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cidara Therapeutics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cidara Therapeutics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cidara Therapeutics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cidara Therapeutics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cidara Therapeutics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cidara Therapeutics' historical news coverage. Cidara Therapeutics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.36 and 24.74, respectively. We have considered Cidara Therapeutics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cidara Therapeutics is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cidara Therapeutics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cidara Therapeutics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cidara Therapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cidara Therapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cidara Therapeutics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.91 | 4.19 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.20 | 20.55 | 1.73 |
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Cidara Therapeutics Hype Timeline
Cidara Therapeutics is currently traded for 20.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.35, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Cidara is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 20.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.73%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.91%. The volatility of related hype on Cidara Therapeutics is about 209500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.20. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 63.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.93 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (11.23 M). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Cidara Therapeutics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cidara Therapeutics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cidara Therapeutics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cidara Therapeutics' future price movements. Getting to know how Cidara Therapeutics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cidara Therapeutics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTMX | CytomX Therapeutics | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.25 | (5.22) | 20.61 | |
| CFRX | ContraFect Corp | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 12.23 | (8.45) | 55.69 | |
| CLSD | Clearside Biomedical | 0.01 | 8 per month | 4.34 | 0.02 | 9.28 | (8.40) | 27.42 | |
| GLYC | GlycoMimetics | (0.01) | 6 per month | 4.47 | 0.09 | 7.89 | (9.52) | 201.39 | |
| TCON | TRACON Pharmaceuticals | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 19.59 | (17.77) | 52.05 |
Cidara Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cidara price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cidara using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cidara charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Cidara Therapeutics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cidara Therapeutics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cidara Therapeutics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cidara Therapeutics based on analysis of Cidara Therapeutics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cidara Therapeutics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cidara Therapeutics's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Graham Number | 55.69 | 12.63 | 14.89 | 14.14 | Receivables Turnover | 9.26 | 11.02 | 3.93 | 3.74 |
Story Coverage note for Cidara Therapeutics
The number of cover stories for Cidara Therapeutics depends on current market conditions and Cidara Therapeutics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cidara Therapeutics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cidara Therapeutics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cidara Therapeutics Short Properties
Cidara Therapeutics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Cidara Therapeutics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cidara Therapeutics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cidara Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cidara Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.8 M |
Additional Tools for Cidara Stock Analysis
When running Cidara Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Cidara Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cidara Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Cidara Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cidara Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cidara Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cidara Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.