Cnfinance Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| CNF Stock | USD 0.95 0.04 4.04% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.01 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.03 | Wall Street Target Price 5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
Using CNFinance Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNFinance Holdings from the perspective of CNFinance Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CNFinance Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CNFinance because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CNFinance Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 0.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CNFinance |
CNFinance Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CNFinance Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CNFinance Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CNFinance Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CNFinance Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CNFinance Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CNFinance Holdings' historical news coverage. CNFinance Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 11.59, respectively. We have considered CNFinance Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CNFinance Holdings is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CNFinance Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
CNFinance Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CNFinance Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CNFinance Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CNFinance Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 10.61 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.95 | 0.98 | 3.16 |
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CNFinance Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November CNFinance Holdings is traded for 0.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. CNFinance is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.98 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 3.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on CNFinance Holdings is about 21220.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.96. CNFinance Holdings has 8.27 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.82, which is OK given its current industry classification. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out CNFinance Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CNFinance Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CNFinance Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CNFinance Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how CNFinance Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CNFinance Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VEL | Velocity Financial Llc | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.60 | 0.04 | 1.69 | (1.12) | 4.30 | |
| SNFCA | Security National Financial | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.77 | 0.23 | 2.81 | (1.63) | 11.74 | |
| ECPG | Encore Capital Group | (0.73) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.57 | (2.42) | 9.26 | |
| PFSI | PennyMac Finl Svcs | 1.51 | 12 per month | 1.55 | (0.03) | 2.33 | (2.17) | 7.68 | |
| GHLD | Guild Holdings Co | (0.50) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.57 | (3.77) | 11.75 |
CNFinance Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CNFinance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNFinance using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNFinance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About CNFinance Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CNFinance Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CNFinance Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CNFinance Holdings based on analysis of CNFinance Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CNFinance Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CNFinance Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 159.59 | 247.28 | 222.55 | 233.68 | PTB Ratio | 0.52 | 0.23 | 0.29 | 0.28 |
Story Coverage note for CNFinance Holdings
The number of cover stories for CNFinance Holdings depends on current market conditions and CNFinance Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CNFinance Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CNFinance Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CNFinance Holdings Short Properties
CNFinance Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when CNFinance Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CNFinance Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CNFinance Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNFinance Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
Complementary Tools for CNFinance Stock analysis
When running CNFinance Holdings' price analysis, check to measure CNFinance Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CNFinance Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of CNFinance Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CNFinance Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CNFinance Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CNFinance Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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