Capital One Financial Stock Price Prediction
| COF Stock | USD 192.01 0.72 0.38% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.64 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.5978 | EPS Estimate Next Year 15.67 | Wall Street Target Price 182.7844 |
Using Capital One hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capital One Financial from the perspective of Capital One response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Capital One Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Capital One's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Capital. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Capital can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Capital One Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Capital One's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Capital One.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Capital One to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Capital because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Capital One after-hype prediction price | USD 191.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Capital |
Capital One After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Capital One at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capital One or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Capital One, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Capital One Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Capital One's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capital One's historical news coverage. Capital One's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 189.03 and 194.39, respectively. We have considered Capital One's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Capital One is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capital One Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Capital One Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Capital One is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capital One backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capital One, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 2.68 | 0.30 | 0.78 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
192.01 | 191.71 | 0.16 |
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Capital One Hype Timeline
On the 30th of November Capital One Financial is traded for 192.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.78. Capital is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 191.71. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Capital One is about 164.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 192.79. About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.16. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Capital One Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.06. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.6. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2024. Capital One had 3:1 split on the 2nd of June 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Capital One Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Capital One Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Capital One's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capital One's future price movements. Getting to know how Capital One's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capital One may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MA | Mastercard | 3.93 | 6 per month | 0.68 | 0.06 | 1.70 | (1.33) | 5.05 | |
| V | Visa Class A | 2.60 | 6 per month | 1.05 | 0.09 | 2.23 | (1.30) | 7.73 | |
| PYPL | PayPal Holdings | (0.35) | 6 per month | 1.50 | 0.11 | 3.52 | (2.75) | 10.05 | |
| ALLY | Ally Financial | (0.16) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.84 | (2.91) | 19.33 | |
| AXP | American Express | 3.18 | 8 per month | 1.11 | 0.08 | 2.83 | (2.19) | 9.79 | |
| SYF | Synchrony Financial | (0.01) | 11 per month | 1.20 | 0.13 | 4.38 | (2.58) | 23.07 | |
| DFS | Discover Financial Services | 1.50 | 11 per month | 1.45 | 0.11 | 4.04 | (2.77) | 24.36 | |
| UPST | Upstart Holdings | 3.59 | 10 per month | 3.52 | 0.14 | 7.37 | (5.57) | 56.41 | |
| SOFI | SoFi Technologies | 0.41 | 10 per month | 1.71 | 0.34 | 7.21 | (2.94) | 17.87 |
Capital One Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Capital price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capital using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Capital One Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Capital One stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Capital One Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capital One based on analysis of Capital One hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Capital One's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Capital One's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0221 | 0.0323 | 0.0231 | 0.0243 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.11 | 1.06 | 1.95 | 2.0 |
Story Coverage note for Capital One
The number of cover stories for Capital One depends on current market conditions and Capital One's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Capital One is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Capital One's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Capital One Short Properties
Capital One's future price predictability will typically decrease when Capital One's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Capital One Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Capital One's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital One's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 383.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43.3 B |
Complementary Tools for Capital Stock analysis
When running Capital One's price analysis, check to measure Capital One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital One is operating at the current time. Most of Capital One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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