Eaton Vance California Stock Price Prediction

EVM Stock  USD 9.46  0.01  0.11%   
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Eaton Vance's share price is at 56 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Eaton Vance, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Eaton Vance's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Eaton Vance and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Eaton Vance's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eaton Vance California, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Eaton Vance's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.145
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
Using Eaton Vance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eaton Vance California from the perspective of Eaton Vance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eaton Vance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eaton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Eaton Vance after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.47  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Eaton Vance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eaton Vance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.989.439.88
Details

Eaton Vance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Eaton Vance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eaton Vance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eaton Vance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Eaton Vance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Eaton Vance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eaton Vance's historical news coverage. Eaton Vance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.02 and 9.92, respectively. We have considered Eaton Vance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.46
9.47
After-hype Price
9.92
Upside
Eaton Vance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eaton Vance California is based on 3 months time horizon.

Eaton Vance Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eaton Vance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eaton Vance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eaton Vance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.45
 0.00  
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.46
9.47
0.00 
750.00  
Notes

Eaton Vance Hype Timeline

On the 29th of November Eaton Vance California is traded for 9.46. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Eaton is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Eaton Vance is about 3900.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.46. About 46.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Eaton Vance California last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Eaton Vance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Eaton Vance Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Eaton Vance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eaton Vance's future price movements. Getting to know how Eaton Vance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eaton Vance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PCKPimco California Municipal 0.00 0 per month 0.54 (0.20) 1.02 (0.84) 3.02 
PCQPimco California Municipal(0.01)1 per month 0.56 (0.15) 1.05 (1.00) 2.76 
NKXNuveen California Amt 0.37 1 per month 0.00 (0.20) 1.01 (1.28) 4.62 
VCVInvesco California Value(0.07)3 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.09 (0.97) 3.87 
BFZBlackRock California Municipal(0.03)5 per month 0.00 (0.26) 0.92 (1.00) 2.57 
MQYBlackrock Muniyield Quality(0.02)2 per month 0.58 (0.18) 0.96 (1.07) 2.74 
MUIBlackrock Muni Intermediate 0.01 2 per month 0.48 (0.16) 0.73 (0.65) 3.31 
MVFMunivest Fund 0.03 3 per month 0.65 (0.18) 0.95 (1.09) 2.81 
JSDNuveen Short Duration(0.08)5 per month 0.47 (0.26) 0.71 (0.95) 2.02 
MYIBlackrock Muniyield Quality 0.06 1 per month 0.51 (0.19) 1.12 (0.94) 2.59 
NXJNuveen New Jersey(0.17)3 per month 0.54 (0.22) 0.79 (0.81) 2.32 
JCENuveen Core Equity 0.00 0 per month 0.73 (0.05) 1.12 (1.19) 3.70 
SDHYPGIM Short Duration 0.06 2 per month 0.28 (0.12) 0.75 (0.61) 2.71 

Eaton Vance Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Eaton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eaton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eaton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Eaton Vance Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Eaton Vance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eaton Vance California, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eaton Vance based on analysis of Eaton Vance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eaton Vance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eaton Vance's related companies.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Price To Book Ratio0.881.011.0
Cash Flow Coverage Ratios0.09171.071.12

Story Coverage note for Eaton Vance

The number of cover stories for Eaton Vance depends on current market conditions and Eaton Vance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eaton Vance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eaton Vance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Eaton Vance Short Properties

Eaton Vance's future price predictability will typically decrease when Eaton Vance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eaton Vance California often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eaton Vance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eaton Vance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.7 M
When determining whether Eaton Vance California is a strong investment it is important to analyze Eaton Vance's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Eaton Vance's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Eaton Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Eaton Vance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eaton Vance. If investors know Eaton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eaton Vance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.145
Dividend Share
0.382
Earnings Share
0.33
Revenue Per Share
0.611
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
The market value of Eaton Vance California is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eaton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eaton Vance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eaton Vance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eaton Vance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eaton Vance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eaton Vance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eaton Vance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eaton Vance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.