Gigacloud Technology Class Stock Price Prediction
| GCT Stock | USD 24.78 0.05 0.20% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.661 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.93 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.06 | Wall Street Target Price 53.374 |
Using GigaCloud Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GigaCloud Technology Class from the perspective of GigaCloud Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GigaCloud Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GigaCloud because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GigaCloud Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 25.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GigaCloud |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GigaCloud Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GigaCloud Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GigaCloud Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GigaCloud Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GigaCloud Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GigaCloud Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GigaCloud Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GigaCloud Technology's historical news coverage. GigaCloud Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.46 and 31.50, respectively. We have considered GigaCloud Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GigaCloud Technology is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GigaCloud Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
GigaCloud Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GigaCloud Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GigaCloud Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GigaCloud Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 6.05 | 0.78 | 0.17 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.78 | 25.48 | 2.82 |
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GigaCloud Technology Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November GigaCloud Technology is traded for 24.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.78, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. GigaCloud is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 25.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 2.82%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.56%. The volatility of related hype on GigaCloud Technology is about 1977.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.61. GigaCloud Technology Class has 403.24 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.01, which is OK given its current industry classification. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out GigaCloud Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GigaCloud Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GigaCloud Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GigaCloud Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how GigaCloud Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GigaCloud Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARQQ | Arqit Quantum | (0.51) | 4 per month | 7.76 | 0.12 | 25.56 | (13.79) | 58.48 | |
| TLS | Telos Corp | (0.39) | 8 per month | 3.62 | (0) | 7.85 | (5.90) | 25.89 | |
| CETX | Cemtrex | (4.18) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.46) | 8.73 | (33.92) | 75.61 | |
| ALAR | Alarum Technologies | 0.16 | 4 per month | 5.89 | 0 | 14.37 | (9.94) | 48.00 | |
| STEM | Stem Inc | 0.04 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 12.20 | (13.33) | 66.29 | |
| PGY | Pagaya Technologies | (1.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.41 | (8.48) | 51.11 | |
| PANW | Palo Alto Networks | 2.86 | 8 per month | 1.75 | 0.05 | 2.45 | (2.51) | 9.85 | |
| PATH | Uipath Inc | 0.59 | 11 per month | 2.53 | 0.03 | 4.52 | (3.82) | 12.04 | |
| NTNX | Nutanix | (0.47) | 11 per month | 1.43 | 0.12 | 3.95 | (2.81) | 25.02 | |
| ZS | Zscaler | (0.15) | 11 per month | 3.72 | 0 | 3.73 | (3.37) | 20.36 |
GigaCloud Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GigaCloud price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GigaCloud using various technical indicators. When you analyze GigaCloud charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About GigaCloud Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GigaCloud Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GigaCloud Technology Class, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GigaCloud Technology based on analysis of GigaCloud Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GigaCloud Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GigaCloud Technology's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 17.63 | 20.22 | 35.69 | 32.86 | PTB Ratio | 4.96 | 1.17 | 2.57 | 2.44 |
Story Coverage note for GigaCloud Technology
The number of cover stories for GigaCloud Technology depends on current market conditions and GigaCloud Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GigaCloud Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GigaCloud Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GigaCloud Technology Short Properties
GigaCloud Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when GigaCloud Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GigaCloud Technology Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GigaCloud Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GigaCloud Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 184.2 M |
Additional Tools for GigaCloud Stock Analysis
When running GigaCloud Technology's price analysis, check to measure GigaCloud Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GigaCloud Technology is operating at the current time. Most of GigaCloud Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GigaCloud Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GigaCloud Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GigaCloud Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.