Great Southern Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| GSBC Stock | USD 64.07 0.27 0.42% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.06 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.24 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.2233 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.13 | Wall Street Target Price 62.3333 |
Using Great Southern hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Great Southern Bancorp from the perspective of Great Southern response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Great Southern to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Great because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Great Southern after-hype prediction price | USD 64.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Great |
Great Southern After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Great Southern at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Great Southern or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Great Southern, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Great Southern Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Great Southern's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Great Southern's historical news coverage. Great Southern's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 61.51 and 66.61, respectively. We have considered Great Southern's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Great Southern is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Great Southern Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Great Southern Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Great Southern is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Great Southern backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Great Southern, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.55 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
64.07 | 64.06 | 0.02 |
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Great Southern Hype Timeline
Great Southern Bancorp is currently traded for 64.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Great is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 64.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Great Southern is about 2952.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 64.09. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.22. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Great Southern Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.62. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.08. The firm last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2024. Great Southern had 2:1 split on the 2nd of June 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Great Southern Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Great Southern Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Great Southern's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Great Southern's future price movements. Getting to know how Great Southern's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Great Southern may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HMNF | HMN Financial | (0.15) | 6 per month | 1.85 | 0.11 | 4.29 | (3.19) | 13.15 | |
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | (0.15) | 10 per month | 1.75 | (0.02) | 4.11 | (2.82) | 14.21 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.08) | 10 per month | 1.12 | (0.0005) | 2.53 | (2.16) | 9.14 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.36 | (1.13) | 4.32 | |
| FCAP | First Capital | 0.48 | 8 per month | 2.02 | (0.01) | 6.30 | (4.11) | 14.42 | |
| HTBI | HomeTrust Bancshares | (0.29) | 6 per month | 1.73 | (0.02) | 2.87 | (3.47) | 18.54 | |
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | 1.24 | 7 per month | 1.74 | 0.05 | 3.67 | (3.12) | 10.19 | |
| OFED | Oconee Federal Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.48 | (5.28) | 12.66 | |
| CULL | Cullman Bancorp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 1.18 | (1.64) | 4.73 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.75 | (4.31) | 17.43 | |
| MGYR | Magyar Bancorp | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.43 | 0.1 | 1.90 | (1.22) | 3.88 |
Great Southern Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Great price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Great using various technical indicators. When you analyze Great charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Great Southern Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Great Southern stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Great Southern Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Great Southern based on analysis of Great Southern hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Great Southern's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Great Southern's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0234 | 0.0258 | 0.0271 | 0.0217 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.71 | 3.19 | 3.14 | 3.66 |
Story Coverage note for Great Southern
The number of cover stories for Great Southern depends on current market conditions and Great Southern's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Great Southern is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Great Southern's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Great Southern Short Properties
Great Southern's future price predictability will typically decrease when Great Southern's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Great Southern Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Great Southern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Great Southern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 776.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Great Stock analysis
When running Great Southern's price analysis, check to measure Great Southern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Great Southern is operating at the current time. Most of Great Southern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Great Southern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Great Southern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Great Southern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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