Interactive Brokers Group Stock Price Prediction
| IBKR Stock | USD 191.09 0.03 0.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
76
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.071 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.72 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.8059 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.8836 | Wall Street Target Price 166.8 |
Using Interactive Brokers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Interactive Brokers Group from the perspective of Interactive Brokers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Interactive Brokers using Interactive Brokers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Interactive using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Interactive Brokers' stock price.
Interactive Brokers Short Interest
An investor who is long Interactive Brokers may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Interactive Brokers and may potentially protect profits, hedge Interactive Brokers with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 127.9735 | Short Percent 0.0172 | Short Ratio 1.73 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 157.7538 |
Interactive Brokers Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Interactive Brokers' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Interactive. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Interactive can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Interactive Brokers Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Interactive Brokers' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Interactive Brokers.
Interactive Brokers Implied Volatility | 0.74 |
Interactive Brokers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Interactive Brokers Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Interactive Brokers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Interactive Brokers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Interactive Brokers' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Interactive Brokers to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Interactive because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Interactive Brokers after-hype prediction price | USD 192.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Interactive contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Interactive Brokers Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0463% per day over the life of the 2024-12-20 option contract. With Interactive Brokers trading at USD 191.09, that is roughly USD 0.0884 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Interactive Brokers' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Interactive Brokers Group options at the current volatility level of 0.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Interactive |
Interactive Brokers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Interactive Brokers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Interactive Brokers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Interactive Brokers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Interactive Brokers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Interactive Brokers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Interactive Brokers' historical news coverage. Interactive Brokers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 190.16 and 194.18, respectively. We have considered Interactive Brokers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Interactive Brokers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Interactive Brokers is based on 3 months time horizon.
Interactive Brokers Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Interactive Brokers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Interactive Brokers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Interactive Brokers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.67 | 2.01 | 1.08 | 0.75 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
191.09 | 192.17 | 0.57 |
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Interactive Brokers Hype Timeline
Interactive Brokers is currently traded for 191.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.75. Interactive is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 192.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 124.84%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.67%. The volatility of related hype on Interactive Brokers is about 178.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 191.84. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.42 B. Net Income was 600 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.81 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Interactive Brokers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Interactive Brokers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Interactive Brokers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Interactive Brokers' future price movements. Getting to know how Interactive Brokers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Interactive Brokers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LIVE | Live Ventures | (0.49) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 5.98 | (5.86) | 16.34 | |
| BSET | Bassett Furniture Industries | 0.04 | 9 per month | 1.53 | 0.04 | 3.03 | (2.70) | 9.61 | |
| HVT | Haverty Furniture Companies | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.42 | (2.97) | 12.20 | |
| VRA | Vera Bradley | (0.02) | 9 per month | 2.30 | (0.02) | 4.21 | (3.84) | 12.01 | |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands | 2.00 | 11 per month | 1.44 | 0.11 | 3.18 | (2.42) | 16.49 | |
| BURL | Burlington Stores | 6.17 | 9 per month | 2.03 | (0.04) | 2.37 | (2.77) | 9.11 | |
| CTRN | Citi Trends | 0.01 | 8 per month | 1.93 | 0.14 | 5.18 | (2.97) | 17.32 | |
| NKE | Nike Inc | 1.27 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.37 | (2.31) | 13.61 |
Interactive Brokers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Interactive price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Interactive using various technical indicators. When you analyze Interactive charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Interactive Brokers Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Interactive Brokers stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Interactive Brokers Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Interactive Brokers based on analysis of Interactive Brokers hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Interactive Brokers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Interactive Brokers's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.005081 | 0.005503 | 0.004827 | 0.004585 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.72 | 2.3 | 1.97 | 1.2 |
Story Coverage note for Interactive Brokers
The number of cover stories for Interactive Brokers depends on current market conditions and Interactive Brokers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Interactive Brokers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Interactive Brokers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Interactive Brokers Short Properties
Interactive Brokers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Interactive Brokers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Interactive Brokers Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Interactive Brokers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Interactive Brokers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 B |
Additional Tools for Interactive Stock Analysis
When running Interactive Brokers' price analysis, check to measure Interactive Brokers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Interactive Brokers is operating at the current time. Most of Interactive Brokers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Interactive Brokers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Interactive Brokers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Interactive Brokers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.