Inspired Entertainment Stock Price Prediction

INSE Stock  USD 9.62  0.17  1.74%   
The relative strength indicator of Inspired Entertainment's the stock price is about 62. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Inspired, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Inspired Entertainment's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Inspired Entertainment and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Inspired Entertainment's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Inspired Entertainment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Inspired Entertainment's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.31
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.53
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.52
Wall Street Target Price
14.8
Using Inspired Entertainment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Inspired Entertainment from the perspective of Inspired Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Inspired Entertainment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Inspired because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Inspired Entertainment after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Inspired Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Inspired Stock refer to our How to Trade Inspired Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inspired Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.6612.3514.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.019.0911.17
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.7520.6022.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.130.130.13
Details

Inspired Entertainment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Inspired Entertainment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Inspired Entertainment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Inspired Entertainment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Inspired Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Inspired Entertainment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Inspired Entertainment's historical news coverage. Inspired Entertainment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.47 and 11.63, respectively. We have considered Inspired Entertainment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.62
9.55
After-hype Price
11.63
Upside
Inspired Entertainment is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Inspired Entertainment is based on 3 months time horizon.

Inspired Entertainment Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Inspired Entertainment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inspired Entertainment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Inspired Entertainment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.08
  0.07 
  0.04 
7 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.62
9.55
0.73 
630.30  
Notes

Inspired Entertainment Hype Timeline

Inspired Entertainment is currently traded for 9.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Inspired is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.73%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Inspired Entertainment is about 1171.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.66. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Inspired Entertainment had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Inspired Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Inspired Stock refer to our How to Trade Inspired Stock guide.

Inspired Entertainment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Inspired Entertainment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Inspired Entertainment's future price movements. Getting to know how Inspired Entertainment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Inspired Entertainment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Inspired Entertainment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Inspired price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Inspired using various technical indicators. When you analyze Inspired charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Inspired Entertainment Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Inspired Entertainment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Inspired Entertainment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Inspired Entertainment based on analysis of Inspired Entertainment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Inspired Entertainment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Inspired Entertainment's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover2.443.043.493.32
Days Of Inventory On Hand121.67157.1570.3466.83

Story Coverage note for Inspired Entertainment

The number of cover stories for Inspired Entertainment depends on current market conditions and Inspired Entertainment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Inspired Entertainment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Inspired Entertainment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Inspired Entertainment Short Properties

Inspired Entertainment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Inspired Entertainment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Inspired Entertainment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Inspired Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inspired Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments40 M

Complementary Tools for Inspired Stock analysis

When running Inspired Entertainment's price analysis, check to measure Inspired Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inspired Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of Inspired Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inspired Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inspired Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inspired Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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