Kaixin Auto Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| KXIN Stock | USD 1.98 0.02 1.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.74) |
Using Kaixin Auto hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kaixin Auto Holdings from the perspective of Kaixin Auto response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kaixin Auto to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kaixin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kaixin Auto after-hype prediction price | USD 1.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kaixin |
Kaixin Auto After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kaixin Auto at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kaixin Auto or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kaixin Auto, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kaixin Auto Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kaixin Auto's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kaixin Auto's historical news coverage. Kaixin Auto's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 31.74, respectively. We have considered Kaixin Auto's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kaixin Auto is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kaixin Auto Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kaixin Auto Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kaixin Auto is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kaixin Auto backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kaixin Auto, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.79 | 30.31 | 0.97 | 0.83 | 5 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.98 | 1.66 | 16.36 |
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Kaixin Auto Hype Timeline
Kaixin Auto Holdings is now traded for 1.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.97, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.83. Kaixin is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.66. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -16.36%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.79%. The volatility of related hype on Kaixin Auto is about 6529.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.81. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.08. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kaixin Auto Holdings has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 110.64. The entity recorded a loss per share of 129.04. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Kaixin Auto had 1:60 split on the 25th of October 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Kaixin Auto Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kaixin Auto Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kaixin Auto's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kaixin Auto's future price movements. Getting to know how Kaixin Auto's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kaixin Auto may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CZOO | Cazoo Group | 0.30 | 4 per month | 32.37 | 0.16 | 250.00 | (85.71) | 1,993 | |
| VRM | Vroom Inc | (0.38) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 9.33 | (10.72) | 45.12 | |
| CANG | Cango Inc | 0.14 | 7 per month | 3.05 | 0.20 | 16.80 | (6.58) | 31.66 | |
| CARS | Cars Inc | 0.25 | 6 per month | 1.73 | (0) | 4.66 | (2.75) | 9.11 | |
| KFSYF | Kingsway Financial Services | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.57 | (9.78) | 29.21 | |
| KAR | KAR Auction Services | 1.08 | 7 per month | 1.36 | 0.04 | 2.47 | (2.01) | 13.95 | |
| RUSHB | Rush Enterprises B | 0.90 | 8 per month | 1.72 | 0.07 | 3.36 | (2.78) | 14.10 | |
| RUSHA | Rush Enterprises A | (1.45) | 10 per month | 1.51 | 0.05 | 4.62 | (2.61) | 11.16 | |
| KFS | Kingsway Financial Services | (0.22) | 10 per month | 1.39 | 0.01 | 2.38 | (2.51) | 10.73 | |
| SAH | Sonic Automotive | 2.40 | 9 per month | 1.78 | 0.02 | 4.60 | (3.31) | 13.17 | |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | 2.23 | 9 per month | 1.51 | 0.06 | 3.29 | (2.70) | 11.29 | |
| LAZY | Lazydays Holdings | 0.32 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.51 | (4.50) | 20.01 |
Kaixin Auto Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kaixin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kaixin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kaixin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kaixin Auto Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kaixin Auto stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kaixin Auto Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kaixin Auto based on analysis of Kaixin Auto hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kaixin Auto's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kaixin Auto's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Graham Number | 47.41 | 18.3 | 12.09 | 11.48 | Receivables Turnover | 12.82 | 4.5 | 21.67 | 20.59 |
Story Coverage note for Kaixin Auto
The number of cover stories for Kaixin Auto depends on current market conditions and Kaixin Auto's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kaixin Auto is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kaixin Auto's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kaixin Auto Short Properties
Kaixin Auto's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kaixin Auto's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kaixin Auto Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kaixin Auto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kaixin Auto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 M |
Check out Kaixin Auto Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kaixin Auto. If investors know Kaixin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kaixin Auto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (129.04) | Revenue Per Share 18.145 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.74) | Return On Assets (0.48) | Return On Equity (1.34) |
The market value of Kaixin Auto Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kaixin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kaixin Auto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kaixin Auto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kaixin Auto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kaixin Auto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kaixin Auto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kaixin Auto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kaixin Auto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.