Medirom Healthcare Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| MRM Stock | USD 3.39 0.23 7.28% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.582 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using Medirom Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Medirom Healthcare Technologies from the perspective of Medirom Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Medirom Healthcare to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Medirom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Medirom Healthcare after-hype prediction price | USD 3.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Medirom |
Medirom Healthcare After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Medirom Healthcare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Medirom Healthcare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Medirom Healthcare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Medirom Healthcare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Medirom Healthcare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Medirom Healthcare's historical news coverage. Medirom Healthcare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 10.69, respectively. We have considered Medirom Healthcare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Medirom Healthcare is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Medirom Healthcare is based on 3 months time horizon.
Medirom Healthcare Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Medirom Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Medirom Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Medirom Healthcare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 7.29 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.39 | 3.40 | 0.29 |
|
Medirom Healthcare Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of December Medirom Healthcare is traded for 3.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Medirom is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Medirom Healthcare is about 20250.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.39. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.83 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 115.05 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.42 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Medirom Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Medirom Healthcare Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Medirom Healthcare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Medirom Healthcare's future price movements. Getting to know how Medirom Healthcare's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Medirom Healthcare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HRB | HR Block | 1.29 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.14 | (1.60) | 11.70 | |
| SCI | Service International | (1.22) | 9 per month | 0.74 | 0.05 | 1.89 | (1.37) | 8.36 | |
| ROL | Rollins | 0.15 | 6 per month | 1.83 | (0.09) | 1.53 | (2.26) | 9.52 | |
| WW | WW International | 0.02 | 9 per month | 5.97 | 0.1 | 19.23 | (10.78) | 63.34 | |
| CSV | Carriage Services | (0.42) | 9 per month | 0.88 | 0.09 | 2.84 | (2.10) | 16.85 |
Medirom Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Medirom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Medirom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Medirom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Medirom Healthcare Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Medirom Healthcare stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Medirom Healthcare Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Medirom Healthcare based on analysis of Medirom Healthcare hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Medirom Healthcare's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Medirom Healthcare's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 17.3 | 24.34 | 38.19 | 21.99 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 1.71 | 8.24 | 9.72 | 10.2 |
Story Coverage note for Medirom Healthcare
The number of cover stories for Medirom Healthcare depends on current market conditions and Medirom Healthcare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Medirom Healthcare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Medirom Healthcare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Medirom Healthcare Short Properties
Medirom Healthcare's future price predictability will typically decrease when Medirom Healthcare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Medirom Healthcare Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Medirom Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Medirom Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.8 M |
Check out Medirom Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Medirom Healthcare. If investors know Medirom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Medirom Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.582 | Earnings Share (0.16) | Revenue Per Share 1.4 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Medirom Healthcare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Medirom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Medirom Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Medirom Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Medirom Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Medirom Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Medirom Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Medirom Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Medirom Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.