Nathans Famous Stock Price Prediction
| NATH Stock | USD 87.50 0.42 0.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.05 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.061 |
Using Nathans Famous hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nathans Famous from the perspective of Nathans Famous response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nathans Famous to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nathans because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nathans Famous after-hype prediction price | USD 87.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nathans |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nathans Famous' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nathans Famous After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nathans Famous at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nathans Famous or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nathans Famous, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nathans Famous Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nathans Famous' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nathans Famous' historical news coverage. Nathans Famous' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.73 and 89.57, respectively. We have considered Nathans Famous' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nathans Famous is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nathans Famous is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nathans Famous Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nathans Famous is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nathans Famous backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nathans Famous, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.92 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
87.50 | 87.65 | 0.17 |
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Nathans Famous Hype Timeline
Nathans Famous is now traded for 87.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. Nathans is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 87.65 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Nathans Famous is about 231.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 87.69. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 138.61 M. Net Income was 19.62 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 44.06 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Nathans Famous Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nathans Famous Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nathans Famous' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nathans Famous' future price movements. Getting to know how Nathans Famous' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nathans Famous may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NROM | Noble Romans | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.48 | 0.03 | 18.75 | (17.95) | 68.65 | |
| GTIM | Good Times Restaurants | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.49 | (4.59) | 16.72 | |
| BDVB | Bagger Daves Burger | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.18 | 0.05 | 13.22 | (11.67) | 49.74 | |
| BDL | Flanigans Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.00 | (4.65) | 16.06 | |
| FRGI | Fiesta Restaurant Group | (0.22) | 1 per month | 2.75 | (0.05) | 4.69 | (3.69) | 12.75 | |
| FATBB | FAT Brands | (0.07) | 4 per month | 4.27 | (0.02) | 6.33 | (10.10) | 24.95 | |
| LOCO | El Pollo Loco | (0.07) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.38 | (2.63) | 9.80 | |
| ARKR | Ark Restaurants Corp | 0.82 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.04 | (4.37) | 10.26 | |
| BH | Biglari Holdings | 8.12 | 6 per month | 1.21 | 0.06 | 4.00 | (2.23) | 11.00 | |
| CHUY | Chuys Holdings | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.67 | (0.27) | 48.46 | |
| PBPB | Potbelly Co | 1.69 | 8 per month | 1.54 | 0.10 | 4.24 | (3.01) | 24.84 | |
| BJRI | BJs Restaurants | 0.61 | 9 per month | 2.26 | 0.07 | 4.59 | (2.64) | 13.19 | |
| STKS | One Group Hospitality | (0.08) | 9 per month | 4.48 | (0.02) | 6.54 | (4.89) | 25.92 |
Nathans Famous Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nathans price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nathans using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nathans charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Nathans Famous Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nathans Famous stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nathans Famous, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nathans Famous based on analysis of Nathans Famous hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nathans Famous's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nathans Famous's related companies. | 2018 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0251 | 0.0288 | 0.0274 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.3 | 2.05 | 1.33 |
Story Coverage note for Nathans Famous
The number of cover stories for Nathans Famous depends on current market conditions and Nathans Famous' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nathans Famous is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nathans Famous' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nathans Famous Short Properties
Nathans Famous' future price predictability will typically decrease when Nathans Famous' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nathans Famous often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nathans Famous' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nathans Famous' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21 M |
Complementary Tools for Nathans Stock analysis
When running Nathans Famous' price analysis, check to measure Nathans Famous' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nathans Famous is operating at the current time. Most of Nathans Famous' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nathans Famous' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nathans Famous' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nathans Famous to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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