Optical Cable Stock Price Prediction

OCC Stock  USD 2.33  0.02  0.85%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Optical Cable's share price is approaching 38. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Optical Cable, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

38

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Optical Cable's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Optical Cable, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Optical Cable's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Using Optical Cable hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Optical Cable from the perspective of Optical Cable response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Optical Cable to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Optical because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Optical Cable after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Optical Cable Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Optical Stock refer to our How to Trade Optical Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Optical Cable's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.064.57
Details

Optical Cable After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Optical Cable at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Optical Cable or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Optical Cable, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Optical Cable Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Optical Cable's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Optical Cable's historical news coverage. Optical Cable's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 4.86, respectively. We have considered Optical Cable's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.33
2.35
After-hype Price
4.86
Upside
Optical Cable is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Optical Cable is based on 3 months time horizon.

Optical Cable Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Optical Cable is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Optical Cable backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Optical Cable, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
2.51
  0.02 
  0.05 
7 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.33
2.35
0.86 
3,586  
Notes

Optical Cable Hype Timeline

On the 29th of November Optical Cable is traded for 2.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Optical is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.86%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Optical Cable is about 1230.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.38. The company reported the last year's revenue of 72.17 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.07 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 20.51 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Optical Cable Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Optical Stock refer to our How to Trade Optical Stock guide.

Optical Cable Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Optical Cable's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Optical Cable's future price movements. Getting to know how Optical Cable's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Optical Cable may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ITIIteris Inc 0.00 9 per month 0.00  0.13  5.42 (0.41) 2,939 
KVHIKVH Industries 0.05 8 per month 1.61  0.08  4.42 (2.92) 10.42 
KNKnowles Cor(0.08)9 per month 1.73 (0.01) 2.56 (3.10) 12.11 
CMTLComtech Telecommunications Corp(0.06)7 per month 6.47  0.04  12.63 (8.43) 40.77 
WSTLWestell Technologies 0.00 0 per month 2.52  0.04  4.35 (4.84) 14.78 
QTRHFQuarterhill 0.00 0 per month 1.90  0.12  6.36 (3.64) 11.67 
LTRXLantronix(0.20)8 per month 0.00 (0.06) 6.94 (5.07) 39.58 
PCTIPC Tel Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.74  0.04  3.49 (3.58) 10.78 
TESSTESSCO Technologies Incorporated(0.01)10 per month 0.00 (0.49) 0.23 (0.23) 1.03 
BKTIBK Technologies 2.75 4 per month 3.41  0.13  10.44 (6.36) 27.34 
DZSIDZS Inc 0.04 7 per month 0.00 (0.28) 8.73 (20.00) 63.79 
FEIMFrequency Electronics 0.57 7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.50 (2.55) 9.52 
MINMMinim Inc(0.10)3 per month 0.00 (0.06) 14.24 (8.42) 49.73 
AMPGAmplitech Group 0.02 8 per month 6.72  0.03  13.95 (11.76) 70.88 
MOBMobilicom Limited American 0.08 4 per month 2.46  0.18  7.35 (5.00) 23.75 

Optical Cable Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Optical price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Optical using various technical indicators. When you analyze Optical charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Optical Cable Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Optical Cable stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Optical Cable, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Optical Cable based on analysis of Optical Cable hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Optical Cable's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Optical Cable's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding58.1346.5653.5569.82
PTB Ratio1.210.860.990.94

Story Coverage note for Optical Cable

The number of cover stories for Optical Cable depends on current market conditions and Optical Cable's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Optical Cable is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Optical Cable's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Optical Cable Short Properties

Optical Cable's future price predictability will typically decrease when Optical Cable's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Optical Cable often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Optical Cable's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Optical Cable's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 M

Complementary Tools for Optical Stock analysis

When running Optical Cable's price analysis, check to measure Optical Cable's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Optical Cable is operating at the current time. Most of Optical Cable's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Optical Cable's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Optical Cable's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Optical Cable to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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