Oceanfirst Financial Corp Stock Price Prediction
| OCFC Stock | USD 20.61 0.07 0.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.258 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.37 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.5843 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.6143 | Wall Street Target Price 21.2143 |
Using OceanFirst Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OceanFirst Financial Corp from the perspective of OceanFirst Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in OceanFirst Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying OceanFirst because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
OceanFirst Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 20.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
OceanFirst |
OceanFirst Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OceanFirst Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OceanFirst Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OceanFirst Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OceanFirst Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OceanFirst Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OceanFirst Financial's historical news coverage. OceanFirst Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.23 and 23.11, respectively. We have considered OceanFirst Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OceanFirst Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OceanFirst Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
OceanFirst Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OceanFirst Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OceanFirst Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OceanFirst Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 2.94 | 0.44 | 0.05 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.61 | 20.17 | 2.13 |
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OceanFirst Financial Hype Timeline
OceanFirst Financial Corp is now traded for 20.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.44, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. OceanFirst is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.17. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.13%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on OceanFirst Financial is about 1876.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.66. About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.71. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. OceanFirst Financial Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.84. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of November 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 20th of May 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out OceanFirst Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.OceanFirst Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OceanFirst Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OceanFirst Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how OceanFirst Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OceanFirst Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IBOC | International Bancshares | 0.87 | 6 per month | 1.53 | 0.06 | 2.78 | (2.98) | 18.82 | |
| FNWD | Finward Bancorp | 0.14 | 8 per month | 0.75 | 0.06 | 2.48 | (1.80) | 12.55 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.55) | 0.24 | (0.24) | 0.96 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.40 | 1 per month | 0.50 | (0.1) | 1.21 | (1.02) | 2.80 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | (0.03) | 2.28 | (1.20) | 7.18 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.23 | (0.31) | 0.48 | (0.56) | 1.36 | |
| OSHDF | Oshidori International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,329 | |
| 70082LAB3 | US70082LAB36 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | (0.12) | 1.66 | (1.19) | 4.03 |
OceanFirst Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OceanFirst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OceanFirst using various technical indicators. When you analyze OceanFirst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About OceanFirst Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of OceanFirst Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as OceanFirst Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of OceanFirst Financial based on analysis of OceanFirst Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to OceanFirst Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to OceanFirst Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0338 | 0.0381 | 0.0501 | 0.0274 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.75 | 2.89 | 2.65 | 2.52 |
Story Coverage note for OceanFirst Financial
The number of cover stories for OceanFirst Financial depends on current market conditions and OceanFirst Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OceanFirst Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OceanFirst Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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OceanFirst Financial Short Properties
OceanFirst Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when OceanFirst Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OceanFirst Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OceanFirst Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OceanFirst Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 153.7 M |
Complementary Tools for OceanFirst Stock analysis
When running OceanFirst Financial's price analysis, check to measure OceanFirst Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OceanFirst Financial is operating at the current time. Most of OceanFirst Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OceanFirst Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OceanFirst Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OceanFirst Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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