Old Point Financial Stock Price Prediction
| OPOF Stock | USD 22.52 0.32 1.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.738 | Wall Street Target Price 15 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.076 |
Using Old Point hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Old Point Financial from the perspective of Old Point response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Old Point to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Old because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Old Point after-hype prediction price | USD 22.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Old |
Old Point After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Old Point at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Old Point or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Old Point, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Old Point Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Old Point's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Old Point's historical news coverage. Old Point's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.02 and 24.02, respectively. We have considered Old Point's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Old Point is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Old Point Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Old Point Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Old Point is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Old Point backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Old Point, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 4 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.52 | 22.52 | 0.00 |
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Old Point Hype Timeline
Old Point Financial is now traded for 22.52. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.09. Old is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Old Point is about 503.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.61. About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.99. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Old Point Financial last dividend was issued on the 4th of December 2024. The entity had 5:4 split on the 2nd of October 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Old Point Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Old Point Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Old Point's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Old Point's future price movements. Getting to know how Old Point's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Old Point may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FCCO | First Community | 1.72 | 7 per month | 1.02 | 0.08 | 3.05 | (2.20) | 10.76 | |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 1.79 | 3 per month | 1.51 | 0.05 | 4.78 | (2.77) | 11.90 | |
| CHMG | Chemung Financial Corp | (0.40) | 6 per month | 0.64 | 0.04 | 2.06 | (1.09) | 9.94 | |
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | 1.24 | 7 per month | 1.74 | 0.05 | 3.67 | (3.12) | 10.19 | |
| CULL | Cullman Bancorp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 1.18 | (1.64) | 4.73 | |
| HMNF | HMN Financial | (0.15) | 6 per month | 1.85 | 0.11 | 4.29 | (3.19) | 13.15 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.75 | (4.31) | 17.43 | |
| HVBC | HV Bancorp | (0.52) | 3 per month | 2.03 | 0.09 | 2.68 | (4.11) | 18.63 | |
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp | 0.00 | 5 per month | 1.36 | (0.01) | 3.69 | (3.23) | 8.64 | |
| OFED | Oconee Federal Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.48 | (5.28) | 12.66 | |
| CIZN | Citizens Holding | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.00 | (2.14) | 6.16 | |
| MGYR | Magyar Bancorp | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.43 | 0.1 | 1.90 | (1.22) | 3.88 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | 0.16 | 7 per month | 1.12 | (0.0005) | 2.53 | (2.16) | 9.14 |
Old Point Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Old price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Old using various technical indicators. When you analyze Old charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Old Point Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Old Point stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Old Point Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Old Point based on analysis of Old Point hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Old Point's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Old Point's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0214 | 0.0193 | 0.0313 | 0.0238 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.28 | 2.46 | 1.51 | 1.44 |
Story Coverage note for Old Point
The number of cover stories for Old Point depends on current market conditions and Old Point's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Old Point is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Old Point's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Old Point Short Properties
Old Point's future price predictability will typically decrease when Old Point's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Old Point Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Old Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Old Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 219 M |
Complementary Tools for Old Stock analysis
When running Old Point's price analysis, check to measure Old Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Old Point is operating at the current time. Most of Old Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Old Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Old Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Old Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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