Plymouth Industrial Reit Stock Price Prediction

PLYM Stock  USD 18.82  0.05  0.27%   
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Plymouth Industrial's share price is approaching 33 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Plymouth Industrial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

33

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Plymouth Industrial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Plymouth Industrial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Plymouth Industrial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Plymouth Industrial REIT, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Plymouth Industrial's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.095
Wall Street Target Price
24.6364
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.042
Using Plymouth Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Plymouth Industrial REIT from the perspective of Plymouth Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Plymouth Industrial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Plymouth because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Plymouth Industrial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Plymouth Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Plymouth Industrial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.9422.5324.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.1118.6820.24
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.9825.2528.03
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Plymouth Industrial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Plymouth Industrial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Plymouth Industrial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Plymouth Industrial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Plymouth Industrial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Plymouth Industrial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Plymouth Industrial's historical news coverage. Plymouth Industrial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.30 and 20.44, respectively. We have considered Plymouth Industrial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.82
18.87
After-hype Price
20.44
Upside
Plymouth Industrial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Plymouth Industrial REIT is based on 3 months time horizon.

Plymouth Industrial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Plymouth Industrial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Plymouth Industrial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Plymouth Industrial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.35 
1.57
  0.05 
  0.19 
9 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.82
18.87
0.27 
1,121  
Notes

Plymouth Industrial Hype Timeline

Plymouth Industrial REIT is at this time traded for 18.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. Plymouth is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 18.87 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Plymouth Industrial is about 295.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.63. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 199.85 M. Net Income was 13.81 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 126.79 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Plymouth Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Plymouth Industrial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Plymouth Industrial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Plymouth Industrial's future price movements. Getting to know how Plymouth Industrial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Plymouth Industrial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
REXRRexford Industrial Realty 0.93 7 per month 0.00 (0.23) 2.08 (2.76) 12.54 
EGPEastGroup Properties(1.48)10 per month 0.00 (0.22) 1.43 (1.82) 5.66 
LXPLXP Industrial Trust 0.22 9 per month 0.00 (0.21) 1.50 (2.08) 7.57 
INDTIndus Realty Trust(0.17)7 per month 0.00 (1.25) 0.15 (0.08) 0.48 
FRFirst Industrial Realty(1.23)9 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.48 (1.82) 3.74 
TRNOTerreno Realty(1.15)11 per month 0.00 (0.26) 1.47 (2.30) 8.19 
SELFGlobal Self Storage(0.04)4 per month 1.40 (0.06) 2.41 (2.11) 8.25 
COLDAmericold Realty Trust(1.33)9 per month 0.00 (0.27) 1.65 (2.24) 9.93 

Plymouth Industrial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Plymouth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Plymouth using various technical indicators. When you analyze Plymouth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Plymouth Industrial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Plymouth Industrial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Plymouth Industrial REIT, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Plymouth Industrial based on analysis of Plymouth Industrial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Plymouth Industrial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Plymouth Industrial's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Plymouth Industrial

The number of cover stories for Plymouth Industrial depends on current market conditions and Plymouth Industrial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Plymouth Industrial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Plymouth Industrial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Plymouth Industrial Short Properties

Plymouth Industrial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Plymouth Industrial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Plymouth Industrial REIT often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Plymouth Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Plymouth Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.5 M
When determining whether Plymouth Industrial REIT is a strong investment it is important to analyze Plymouth Industrial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Plymouth Industrial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Plymouth Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Plymouth Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Plymouth Industrial. If investors know Plymouth will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Plymouth Industrial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
0.945
Earnings Share
0.02
Revenue Per Share
4.484
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.042
Return On Assets
0.0152
The market value of Plymouth Industrial REIT is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Plymouth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Plymouth Industrial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Plymouth Industrial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Plymouth Industrial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Plymouth Industrial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Plymouth Industrial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Plymouth Industrial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Plymouth Industrial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.