Quad Graphics Stock Price Prediction

QUAD Stock  USD 7.22  0.02  0.28%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Quad Graphics' the stock price is about 62 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Quad, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Quad Graphics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Quad Graphics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Quad Graphics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Quad Graphics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Quad Graphics' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.36
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.865
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.155
Wall Street Target Price
10.15
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.23
Using Quad Graphics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Quad Graphics from the perspective of Quad Graphics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Quad Graphics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Quad because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Quad Graphics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Quad Graphics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Quad Stock refer to our How to Trade Quad Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.067.8311.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.976.7510.52
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.199.009.99
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.210.220.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Quad Graphics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Quad Graphics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Quad Graphics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Quad Graphics.

Quad Graphics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Quad Graphics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Quad Graphics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Quad Graphics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Quad Graphics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Quad Graphics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Quad Graphics' historical news coverage. Quad Graphics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.63 and 11.17, respectively. We have considered Quad Graphics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.22
7.40
After-hype Price
11.17
Upside
Quad Graphics is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Quad Graphics is based on 3 months time horizon.

Quad Graphics Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Quad Graphics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Quad Graphics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Quad Graphics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.84 
3.77
  0.18 
  0.26 
10 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.22
7.40
2.49 
1,795  
Notes

Quad Graphics Hype Timeline

Quad Graphics is at this time traded for 7.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.26. Quad is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 2.49%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.84%. The volatility of related hype on Quad Graphics is about 1211.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.48. Quad Graphics currently holds 625.3 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.97, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Quad Graphics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Quad Stock refer to our How to Trade Quad Stock guide.

Quad Graphics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Quad Graphics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Quad Graphics' future price movements. Getting to know how Quad Graphics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Quad Graphics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MMSMaximus 0.82 10 per month 0.00 (0.26) 1.91 (2.50) 10.19 
PFSWPFSweb Inc 0.01 4 per month 2.81  0.02  5.84 (5.09) 17.10 
CBZCBIZ Inc 0.20 9 per month 1.41  0.06  2.78 (2.49) 9.49 
FAFirst Advantage Corp(0.58)9 per month 1.63 (0.05) 3.63 (3.01) 9.66 
NTIPNetwork 1 Technologies 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.88 (4.37) 32.25 
PFMTPerformant Financial 0.09 6 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.98 (4.43) 21.95 
RTORentokil Initial PLC(0.34)11 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.40 (2.69) 22.43 
WHLMWilhelmina(0.16)10 per month 0.00 (0.1) 6.54 (7.10) 39.65 
MADGFMader Group Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 0.30  0.00  16.41 
CVEOCiveo Corp 0.65 8 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.13 (3.21) 11.82 
BVBrightView Holdings(0.93)8 per month 2.70  0.01  3.55 (2.88) 19.91 
CASSCass Information Systems(2.11)9 per month 1.59 (0.02) 2.92 (2.97) 9.44 
TRIThomson Reuters Corp 4.08 7 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.40 (1.84) 6.56 
ARMKAramark Holdings 0.96 10 per month 1.42  0.05  2.93 (2.98) 7.21 
RELXRelx PLC ADR 0.03 10 per month 1.05 (0.1) 1.81 (1.69) 5.13 
CTASCintas 2.26 11 per month 0.92  0.05  1.74 (1.44) 6.78 

Quad Graphics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Quad price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Quad using various technical indicators. When you analyze Quad charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Quad Graphics Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Quad Graphics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Quad Graphics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Quad Graphics based on analysis of Quad Graphics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Quad Graphics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Quad Graphics's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0068230.0067683.81E-43.62E-4
Price To Sales Ratio0.06930.06430.08870.0843

Story Coverage note for Quad Graphics

The number of cover stories for Quad Graphics depends on current market conditions and Quad Graphics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Quad Graphics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Quad Graphics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Quad Graphics Short Properties

Quad Graphics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Quad Graphics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Quad Graphics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Quad Graphics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Quad Graphics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments52.9 M

Complementary Tools for Quad Stock analysis

When running Quad Graphics' price analysis, check to measure Quad Graphics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Quad Graphics is operating at the current time. Most of Quad Graphics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Quad Graphics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Quad Graphics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Quad Graphics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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