Thornburg Income Builder Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 16.14 16.91 17.68 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 16.17 16.94 17.71 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Lower Middle Band Upper 16.33 16.80 17.28 Details

Thornburg Income After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Thornburg Income Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Thornburg Income Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.01	0.77	0.00	0.00	1 Events / Month	6 Events / Month	Very soon

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
16.78	16.78	0.00	3,850   Notes

Thornburg Income Hype Timeline

Thornburg Income Builder is at this time traded for 16.78. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Thornburg is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Thornburg Income is about 324.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.78. About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Thornburg Income Builder last dividend was issued on the 20th of March 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be very soon. Check out Thornburg Income Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Thornburg Income Related Hype Analysis

Thornburg Income Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Thornburg price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Thornburg using various technical indicators. When you analyze Thornburg charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Thornburg Income stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Thornburg Income Builder, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Thornburg Income based on analysis of Thornburg Income hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Thornburg Income depends on current market conditions and Thornburg Income's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Thornburg Income is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Thornburg Income's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Thornburg Income's future price predictability will typically decrease when Thornburg Income's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Thornburg Income Builder often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Thornburg Income's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thornburg Income's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Thornburg Income's price analysis, check to measure Thornburg Income's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thornburg Income is operating at the current time. Most of Thornburg Income's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thornburg Income's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thornburg Income's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thornburg Income to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.