Alcoa Corp Stock Analysis

AA Stock  USD 46.43  0.55  1.20%   
Alcoa Corp is overvalued with Real Value of 43.87 and Target Price of 35.27. The main objective of Alcoa Corp stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Alcoa Corp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Alcoa Corp's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Alcoa Corp stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Alcoa Corp's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alcoa Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
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Alcoa Stock Analysis Notes

About 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Alcoa Corp was presently reported as 20.32. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.56. Alcoa Corp last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2024. The entity had 1000:801 split on the 1st of November 2016. Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Iceland, Norway, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Alcoa Corp operates under Aluminum classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 12200 people. For more info on Alcoa Corp please contact the company at 412 315 2900 or go to https://www.alcoa.com.

Alcoa Corp Quarterly Total Revenue

2.9 Billion

Alcoa Corp Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Alcoa Corp's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Alcoa Corp or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Alcoa Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company generated the yearly revenue of 10.55 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (773 M) with gross profit of 2.31 B.
Alcoa Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of November 2024 Alcoa Corp paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thewest.com.au: Mining giant Alcoa digging up its past to keep Pinjarra plant filled

Alcoa Corp Upcoming and Recent Events

Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Alcoa Corp previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
17th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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17th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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15th of January 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Alcoa Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alcoa Corp's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2016-12-01
2016-09-300.040.02-0.0250 
2017-01-24
2016-12-310.20.14-0.0630 
2024-07-17
2024-06-300.090.160.0777 
View All Earnings Estimates

Alcoa Corp Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Alcoa Corp's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Alcoa Corp's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Alcoa Corp's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Alcoa Corp's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Alcoa Corp Thematic Classifications

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Alcoa Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Arga Investment Management, Lp2024-09-30
2.3 M
Antipodes Partners Limited2024-09-30
2.2 M
Encompass Capital Advisors Llc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
1.9 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
1.9 M
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.9 M
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
25.8 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
17.2 M
Note, although Alcoa Corp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Alcoa Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 12 B.

Alcoa Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin (PM) of (0.03) %, which may indicate that it does not properly execute on its own pricing strategies. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows Net Operating Margin (NOM) of 0.09 %, which signifies that for every $100 of sales, it has a net operating income of $0.09.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.05)(0.04)
Return On Capital Employed(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Assets(0.05)(0.04)
Return On Equity(0.15)(0.15)

Management Efficiency

Alcoa Corp has Return on Asset (ROA) of 0.0186 % which means that for every $100 of assets, it generated a profit of $0.0186. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows a return on total equity (ROE) of (0.0714) %, which implies that it produced no returns to current stockholders. Alcoa Corp's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Alcoa Corp manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to -0.04. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.02. At present, Alcoa Corp's Net Tangible Assets are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Intangible Assets is expected to grow to about 46.1 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 12.7 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 32.84  45.66 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 31.81  44.42 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 45.31  47.58 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.42  1.02 
Enterprise Value Multiple 45.31  47.58 
Price Fair Value 1.42  1.02 
Enterprise Value6.5 B7.8 B
Evaluating the management effectiveness of Alcoa Corp allows investors to assess its financial health and operational efficiency. Coupled with an analysis of its growth prospects and the current market dynamics, we evaluate the stock's true value and future potential. Key indicators such as revenue, earnings or debt levels are examined alongside external factors like economic trends and regulatory changes. The Alcoa Stock analysis seeks to determine whether the stock is undervalued, appropriately priced, or overvalued, thereby guiding your investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0087
Operating Margin
0.0868
Profit Margin
(0.03)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0087
Beta
2.419

Technical Drivers

As of the 30th of November, Alcoa Corp shows the mean deviation of 2.39, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.156. Alcoa Corp technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Alcoa Corp Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nine with a total number of output elements of fifty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Alcoa Corp middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Alcoa Corp. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Alcoa Corp Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Alcoa Corp insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Alcoa Corp's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Alcoa Corp insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Alcoa Corp Outstanding Bonds

Alcoa Corp issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Alcoa Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Alcoa bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Alcoa Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Alcoa Corp Predictive Daily Indicators

Alcoa Corp intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Alcoa Corp stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Alcoa Corp Corporate Filings

13A
14th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
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13A
7th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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10Q
31st of October 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
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F4
24th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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13A
21st of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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8K
16th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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F4
7th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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25th of September 2024
Other Reports
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Alcoa Corp Forecast Models

Alcoa Corp's time-series forecasting models are one of many Alcoa Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Alcoa Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Alcoa Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Alcoa Corp prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Alcoa shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Alcoa Corp. By using and applying Alcoa Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Alcoa entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.06)(0.05)
Operating Profit Margin(0.02)(0.02)
Net Loss(0.06)(0.06)
Gross Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 

Current Alcoa Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Alcoa analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Alcoa analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
35.27Strong Buy14Odds
Alcoa Corp current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Alcoa analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alcoa stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alcoa Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alcoa conference calls.
Alcoa Analyst Advice Details

Alcoa Stock Analysis Indicators

Alcoa Corp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Alcoa Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Alcoa Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Alcoa Corp stock analysis, traders can identify Alcoa Corp position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.5 B
Total Stockholder Equity4.3 B
Capital Lease Obligations104 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net6.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments944 M
Cash944 M
50 Day M A41.2238
Net Interest Income-107 M
Total Current LiabilitiesB
Forward Price Earnings14.3472
Investments-585 M
Interest Expense107 M
Stock Based Compensation35 M
Long Term Debt1.7 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding178 M
Tax Provision189 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.81
Accounts Payable1.7 B
Net Debt971 M
Other Operating Expenses10.7 B
Non Current Assets Total9.8 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity14.2 B
Non Currrent Assets Other1.5 B

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When running Alcoa Corp's price analysis, check to measure Alcoa Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alcoa Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Alcoa Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alcoa Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alcoa Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alcoa Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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