Evolution Petroleum Stock Analysis

EPM Stock  USD 5.80  0.06  1.05%   
Evolution Petroleum is undervalued with Real Value of 6.85 and Target Price of 10.25. The main objective of Evolution Petroleum stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Evolution Petroleum is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Evolution Petroleum's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Evolution Petroleum stock is traded in the USA on NYSE MKT Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Evolution Petroleum is usually not traded on Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day. Evolution Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Evolution Petroleum. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
To learn how to invest in Evolution Stock, please use our How to Invest in Evolution Petroleum guide.

Evolution Stock Analysis Notes

About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Evolution Petroleum was currently reported as 2.42. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. Evolution Petroleum had 1:40 split on the 5th of February 2004. Evolution Petroleum Corporation, an energy company, engages in the development, production, ownership, and exploitation of onshore oil and gas properties in the United States. Evolution Petroleum Corporation was founded in 2003 and is based in Houston, Texas. Evolution Petroleum operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on AMEX Exchange. It employs 8 people. To learn more about Evolution Petroleum call Jason Brown at 713 935 0122 or check out https://www.evolutionpetroleum.com.

Evolution Petroleum Investment Alerts

Evolution Petroleum has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investing.com: Earnings call Evolution Petroleum reports strong growth in Q1 2025

Evolution Petroleum Upcoming and Recent Events

6th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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10th of September 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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30th of June 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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Evolution Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Evolution Petroleum's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2005-02-23
2004-12-31-0.03-0.02030.009732 
2020-09-09
2020-06-30-0.02-0.03-0.0150 
2017-11-08
2017-09-300.050.060.0120 
View All Earnings Estimates

Evolution Petroleum Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Evolution Petroleum's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Evolution Petroleum's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Evolution Petroleum's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Evolution Petroleum's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Evolution Petroleum Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Evolution Petroleum stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Petroleum and Natural Gas Idea
Petroleum and Natural Gas
USA Equities from Petroleum and Natural Gas industry as classified by Fama & French

Evolution Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 194.85 M.

Evolution Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.05 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.17 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.17 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03 (5,747)
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  1.60 
Return On Assets 0.03 (5,747)
Return On Equity 0.05  1.71 

Management Efficiency

Evolution Petroleum has Return on Asset of 0.0425 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0425 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0551 %, implying that it generated $0.0551 on every 100 dollars invested. Evolution Petroleum's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Evolution Petroleum manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Evolution Petroleum's Return On Capital Employed is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of November 2024, Return On Equity is likely to grow to 1.71, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (5.7 K). At this time, Evolution Petroleum's Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of November 2024, Non Current Assets Total is likely to grow to about 148.2 M, while Net Tangible Assets are likely to drop about 76.8 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 2.48 (2.06)
Tangible Book Value Per Share 2.48 (2.06)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 7.70 (0.71)
Price Book Value Ratio 2.16 (0.41)
Enterprise Value Multiple 7.70 (0.71)
Price Fair Value 2.16 (0.41)
Enterprise Value279.7 K265.8 K
Effective leadership at Evolution Petroleum drives its competitive edge in the market. Our analysis focuses on how this translates to financial performance and stock value.
Dividend Yield
0.0836
Operating Margin
0.1668
Profit Margin
0.0536
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0836
Beta
0.858

Technical Drivers

As of the 28th of November, Evolution Petroleum shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 1069.8, downside deviation of 2.04, and Mean Deviation of 1.85. Evolution Petroleum technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Evolution Petroleum coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if Evolution Petroleum is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 5.8 per share. Given that Evolution Petroleum has jensen alpha of 0.1657, we urge you to verify Evolution Petroleum's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Evolution Petroleum Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Evolution Petroleum middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Evolution Petroleum. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Evolution Petroleum Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Evolution Petroleum insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Evolution Petroleum's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Evolution Petroleum insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Ryan Stash over a week ago
Disposition of 7671 shares by Ryan Stash of Evolution Petroleum at 5.91 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kelly Loyd over three weeks ago
Disposition of 9692 shares by Kelly Loyd of Evolution Petroleum at 5.15 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kelly Beatty over two months ago
Disposition of 445 shares by Kelly Beatty of Evolution Petroleum at 5.15 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kelly Loyd over two months ago
Acquisition by Kelly Loyd of 52180 shares of Evolution Petroleum subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Robert Herlin over two months ago
Acquisition by Robert Herlin of 11386 shares of Evolution Petroleum at 5.27 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kelly Loyd over two months ago
Disposition of 6373 shares by Kelly Loyd of Evolution Petroleum at 5.15 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ryan Stash over three months ago
Disposition of 15120 shares by Ryan Stash of Evolution Petroleum at 5.27 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kelly Beatty over three months ago
Acquisition by Kelly Beatty of 8836 shares of Evolution Petroleum subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kelly Beatty over three months ago
Acquisition by Kelly Beatty of 500 shares of Evolution Petroleum subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kelly Beatty over six months ago
Disposition of 2965 shares by Kelly Beatty of Evolution Petroleum at 5.66 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Bunch John Mark over six months ago
Disposition of 5930 shares by Bunch John Mark of Evolution Petroleum at 5.68 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kelly Beatty over six months ago
Acquisition by Kelly Beatty of 5000 shares of Evolution Petroleum subject to Rule 16b-3

Evolution Petroleum Outstanding Bonds

Evolution Petroleum issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Evolution Petroleum uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Evolution bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Evolution Petroleum has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Evolution Petroleum Predictive Daily Indicators

Evolution Petroleum intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Evolution Petroleum stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Evolution Petroleum Corporate Filings

F4
20th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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10Q
13th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
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8K
12th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
5th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
24th of October 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
21st of October 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
19th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10K
11th of September 2024
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify

Evolution Petroleum Forecast Models

Evolution Petroleum's time-series forecasting models are one of many Evolution Petroleum's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Evolution Petroleum's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Evolution Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Evolution Petroleum prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Evolution shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Evolution Petroleum. By using and applying Evolution Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Evolution entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.06 (2.39)
Operating Profit Margin 0.09 (2.72)
Net Loss 0.05 (2.36)
Gross Profit Margin 0.22  0.61 

Current Evolution Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Evolution analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Evolution analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
10.25Strong Buy2Odds
Evolution Petroleum current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Evolution analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Evolution stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Evolution Petroleum, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Evolution conference calls.
Evolution Analyst Advice Details

Evolution Stock Analysis Indicators

Evolution Petroleum stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Evolution Petroleum stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Evolution Petroleum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Evolution Petroleum stock analysis, traders can identify Evolution Petroleum position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow11 M
Total Stockholder Equity81.1 M
Capital Lease Obligations156 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net139.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.4 M
Net Invested Capital120.6 M
Cash6.4 M
50 Day M A5.5036
Net Interest Income-1.1 M
Total Current Liabilities15.8 M
Forward Price Earnings47.8469
Investments-49.6 M
Interest Expense1.5 M
Stock Based Compensation2.1 M
Long Term Debt39.5 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.9 M
Tax Provision1.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.5
Free Cash Flow-26.9 M
Other Current Assets4.4 M
Accounts Payable8.3 M
Net Debt33.2 M
Other Operating Expenses78 M
Non Current Assets Total141.2 M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity162.9 M
Non Currrent Assets Other1.3 M
When determining whether Evolution Petroleum is a strong investment it is important to analyze Evolution Petroleum's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Evolution Petroleum's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Evolution Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Evolution Petroleum. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
To learn how to invest in Evolution Stock, please use our How to Invest in Evolution Petroleum guide.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Evolution Petroleum. If investors know Evolution will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Evolution Petroleum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.5
Dividend Share
0.48
Earnings Share
0.14
Revenue Per Share
2.665
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.063
The market value of Evolution Petroleum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Evolution that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Evolution Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Evolution Petroleum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Evolution Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Evolution Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Evolution Petroleum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Evolution Petroleum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Evolution Petroleum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.