Mediaalpha Stock Analysis

MAX Stock  USD 12.63  0.26  2.02%   
MediaAlpha is overvalued with Real Value of 6.7 and Target Price of 0.86. The main objective of MediaAlpha stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what MediaAlpha is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of MediaAlpha's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The MediaAlpha stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. MediaAlpha is usually not traded on Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day. MediaAlpha Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in MediaAlpha. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
For more information on how to buy MediaAlpha Stock please use our How to Invest in MediaAlpha guide.

MediaAlpha Stock Analysis Notes

About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. MediaAlpha, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates an insurance customer acquisition platform in the United States. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California. Mediaalpha Inc operates under Internet Content Information classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 149 people. To find out more about MediaAlpha contact Steven Yi at 213 316 6256 or learn more at https://www.mediaalpha.com.

MediaAlpha Quarterly Total Revenue

259.13 Million

MediaAlpha Investment Alerts

MediaAlpha generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MediaAlpha has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 388.15 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (40.42 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 70.06 M.
MediaAlpha has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from businesswire.com: The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz Continues Investigation of MediaAlpha, Inc. on Behalf of Investors

MediaAlpha Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by MediaAlpha to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

MediaAlpha Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact MediaAlpha's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-05-13
2021-03-310.030.04910.019163 
2021-08-12
2021-06-300.01-0.01-0.02200 
2023-05-04
2023-03-31-0.2-0.23-0.0315 
View All Earnings Estimates

MediaAlpha Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

MediaAlpha's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates MediaAlpha's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of MediaAlpha's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect MediaAlpha's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

MediaAlpha Thematic Classifications

In addition to having MediaAlpha stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Insurance Idea
Insurance
USA Equities from Insurance industry as classified by Fama & French

MediaAlpha Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Qube Research & Technologies2024-06-30
569.2 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
511.9 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
480.6 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
477 K
J. Goldman & Co Lp2024-09-30
466.4 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-06-30
465.8 K
Shay Capital Llc2024-06-30
390 K
Silvercrest Asset Management Group Llc2024-06-30
371 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-06-30
357 K
White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd.2024-09-30
17.9 M
Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management Llc2024-06-30
4.7 M
Note, although MediaAlpha's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

MediaAlpha Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 828.72 M.

MediaAlpha Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.01 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.06 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.06 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.50)(0.48)
Return On Capital Employed(0.54)(0.51)
Return On Assets(0.26)(0.25)
Return On Equity 3.93  4.12 

Management Efficiency

MediaAlpha has Return on Asset of 0.099 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.099 of profit. This is way below average. MediaAlpha's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well MediaAlpha manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Equity is likely to rise to 4.12 in 2024, despite the fact that Return On Tangible Assets are likely to grow to (0.48). At this time, MediaAlpha's Total Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Non Current Assets Total is likely to rise to about 89.7 M in 2024, whereas Net Tangible Assets are likely to drop (91.3 M) in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(2.07)(2.18)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(3.69)(3.87)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(19.32)(18.35)
Price Book Value Ratio(49.36)(51.83)
Enterprise Value Multiple(19.32)(18.35)
Price Fair Value(49.36)(51.83)
Enterprise Value665.2 M912.6 M
Evaluating the management effectiveness of MediaAlpha allows investors to assess its financial health and operational efficiency. Coupled with an analysis of its growth prospects and the current market dynamics, we evaluate the stock's true value and future potential. Key indicators such as revenue, earnings or debt levels are examined alongside external factors like economic trends and regulatory changes. The MediaAlpha Stock analysis seeks to determine whether the stock is undervalued, appropriately priced, or overvalued, thereby guiding your investment decisions.
Operating Margin
0.0602
Profit Margin
0.0141
Beta
1.231
Return On Assets
0.099

Technical Drivers

As of the 30th of November, MediaAlpha secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), standard deviation of 4.84, and Mean Deviation of 2.68. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of MediaAlpha, as well as the relationship between them.

MediaAlpha Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nine with a total number of output elements of fifty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. MediaAlpha middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for MediaAlpha. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

MediaAlpha Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific MediaAlpha insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on MediaAlpha's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases MediaAlpha insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

MediaAlpha Outstanding Bonds

MediaAlpha issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. MediaAlpha uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most MediaAlpha bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when MediaAlpha has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

MediaAlpha Predictive Daily Indicators

MediaAlpha intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of MediaAlpha stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

MediaAlpha Corporate Filings

F4
18th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
12th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
13A
4th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
1st of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
30th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
22nd of October 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
F3
16th of August 2024
An amendment to the original Schedule 13D filing
ViewVerify
F4
15th of August 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

MediaAlpha Forecast Models

MediaAlpha's time-series forecasting models are one of many MediaAlpha's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary MediaAlpha's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About MediaAlpha Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how MediaAlpha prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling MediaAlpha shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as MediaAlpha. By using and applying MediaAlpha Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying MediaAlpha entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.15)(0.14)
Operating Profit Margin(0.10)(0.10)
Net Loss(0.10)(0.10)
Gross Profit Margin 0.17  0.13 

Current MediaAlpha Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. MediaAlpha analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. MediaAlpha analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
0.86Strong Buy8Odds
MediaAlpha current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most MediaAlpha analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand MediaAlpha stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of MediaAlpha, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to MediaAlpha conference calls.
MediaAlpha Analyst Advice Details

MediaAlpha Stock Analysis Indicators

MediaAlpha stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how MediaAlpha stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading MediaAlpha shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying MediaAlpha stock analysis, traders can identify MediaAlpha position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow14.5 M
Long Term Debt162.4 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.6 M
Total Stockholder Equity-10.3 M
Tax Provision-463 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net2.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments17.3 M
Cash17.3 M
Accounts Payable56.3 M
Net Debt157 M
50 Day M A16.292
Total Current Liabilities79.7 M
Other Operating Expenses428.1 M
Non Current Assets Total79.4 M
Forward Price Earnings22.1729
Non Currrent Assets Other5.6 M
Stock Based Compensation53.3 M

Additional Tools for MediaAlpha Stock Analysis

When running MediaAlpha's price analysis, check to measure MediaAlpha's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MediaAlpha is operating at the current time. Most of MediaAlpha's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MediaAlpha's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MediaAlpha's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MediaAlpha to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.