Mesa Air Group Stock Analysis

MESA Stock  USD 1.08  0.04  3.57%   
Mesa Air Group is undervalued with Real Value of 1.26 and Target Price of 2.0. The main objective of Mesa Air stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Mesa Air Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Mesa Air's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Mesa Air stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Mesa Air's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Mesa Air Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Mesa Stock Analysis Notes

About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.34. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mesa Air Group recorded a loss per share of 2.3. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Mesa Air Group, Inc. operates as the holding company for Mesa Airlines, Inc. that provides regional air carrier services under capacity purchase agreements with the American Airlines and the United Airlines. Mesa Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. Mesa Air operates under Airlines classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2600 people. To find out more about Mesa Air Group contact Jonathan Ornstein at 602 685 4000 or learn more at https://www.mesa-air.com.

Mesa Air Quarterly Total Revenue

110.79 Million

Mesa Air Group Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Mesa Air's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Mesa Air Group or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Mesa Air Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mesa Air Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mesa Air Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mesa Air Group currently holds 541.01 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.59, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Mesa Air Group has a current ratio of 0.39, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Mesa Air's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 498.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (120.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 115.04 M.
Mesa Air Group currently holds about 54.45 M in cash with (24.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.5, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Mesa Air Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 22.0% of Mesa Air outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Top 3 Industrials Stocks You May Want To Dump This Quarter

Mesa Air Group Upcoming and Recent Events

Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Mesa Air previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
8th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
24th of January 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
30th of September 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Mesa Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Mesa Air's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-08-09
2021-06-300.10.110.0110 
2021-05-11
2021-03-310.180.230.0527 
2019-02-04
2018-12-310.50.550.0510 
View All Earnings Estimates

Mesa Air Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Mesa Air stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Railroads Idea
Railroads
Railroads and Railways
Sport Products Idea
Sport Products
Sporting goods sport accessories
Airlines Idea
Airlines
Major domestic and international airlines
Air Idea
Air
Air services and air delivery

Mesa Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
43.2 K
Federated Hermes Inc2024-09-30
39.6 K
Raymond James & Associates2024-09-30
36.2 K
Regent Peak Wealth Advisors Llc2024-09-30
29.8 K
International Assets Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
27.8 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-06-30
25.8 K
Justinvest Llc2024-06-30
25.5 K
Xtx Topco Ltd2024-09-30
24.3 K
Group One Trading, Lp2024-06-30
24.3 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Pinnacle Holdings, Llc2024-06-30
608.2 K
Note, although Mesa Air's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Mesa Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 44.62 M.

Mesa Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.2) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.01) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.01.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.13)(0.15)
Return On Capital Employed(0.13)(0.15)
Return On Assets(0.13)(0.15)
Return On Equity(0.69)(0.66)

Management Efficiency

Mesa Air Group has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0111) % which means that it has lost $0.0111 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.5206) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Mesa Air's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Mesa Air manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of November 30, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.15. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is expected to decline to -0.15. At present, Mesa Air's Other Current Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Assets is expected to grow to about 219.8 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 884.1 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 4.56  5.87 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 4.56  5.58 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(33.54)(31.87)
Price Book Value Ratio 0.17  0.19 
Enterprise Value Multiple(33.54)(31.87)
Price Fair Value 0.17  0.19 
Enterprise Value949.4 M500.7 M
Leadership at Mesa Air emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Operating Margin
(0.01)
Profit Margin
(0.20)
Beta
3.123
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Return On Equity
(0.52)

Technical Drivers

As of the 30th of November, Mesa Air secures the Standard Deviation of 4.32, mean deviation of 2.82, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02). In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Mesa Air Group, as well as the relationship between them.

Mesa Air Group Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nine with a total number of output elements of fifty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Mesa Air middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Mesa Air Group. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Mesa Air Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Mesa Air insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Mesa Air's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Mesa Air insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Mesa Air Outstanding Bonds

Mesa Air issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Mesa Air Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Mesa bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Mesa Air Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Mesa Air Predictive Daily Indicators

Mesa Air intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Mesa Air stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Mesa Air Forecast Models

Mesa Air's time-series forecasting models are one of many Mesa Air's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Mesa Air's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Mesa Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Mesa Air prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Mesa shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Mesa Air. By using and applying Mesa Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Mesa entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.30)(0.28)
Operating Profit Margin(0.17)(0.19)
Net Loss(0.28)(0.26)
Gross Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 

Current Mesa Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Mesa analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Mesa analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
2.0Strong Sell0Odds
Mesa Air Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Mesa analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Mesa stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Mesa Air Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Mesa conference calls.
Mesa Analyst Advice Details

Mesa Stock Analysis Indicators

Mesa Air Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Mesa Air stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Mesa Air shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Mesa Air stock analysis, traders can identify Mesa Air position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow61 M
Long Term Debt364.7 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39.5 M
Total Stockholder Equity200 M
Tax Provision-8.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.136
Property Plant And Equipment Net707.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments32.9 M
Cash32.9 M
Accounts Payable59 M
Net Debt508.1 M
50 Day M A1.0174
Total Current Liabilities267.9 M
Other Operating Expenses577.2 M
Non Current Assets Total759.9 M
Non Currrent Assets Other31.8 M
Stock Based Compensation2.3 M

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When running Mesa Air's price analysis, check to measure Mesa Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mesa Air is operating at the current time. Most of Mesa Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mesa Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mesa Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mesa Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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