Ocular Therapeutix Stock Analysis

OCUL Stock  USD 9.89  0.17  1.69%   
Ocular Therapeutix is undervalued with Real Value of 10.66 and Target Price of 13.13. The main objective of Ocular Therapeutix stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Ocular Therapeutix is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Ocular Therapeutix's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Ocular Therapeutix stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ocular Therapeutix. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
For more information on how to buy Ocular Stock please use our How to buy in Ocular Stock guide.

Ocular Stock Analysis Notes

About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Ocular Therapeutix was now reported as 0.79. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.29. Ocular Therapeutix had not issued any dividends in recent years. Ocular Therapeutix, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the formulation, development, and commercialization of therapies for diseases and conditions of the eye using its bioresorbable hydrogel-based formulation technology. Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Bedford, Massachusetts. Ocular Therapeut operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 228 people. To find out more about Ocular Therapeutix contact Antony Mattessich at 781 357 4000 or learn more at https://www.ocutx.com.

Ocular Therapeutix Investment Alerts

Ocular Therapeutix had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 58.44 M. Net Loss for the year was (80.74 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (6.51 M).
Ocular Therapeutix currently holds about 134.54 M in cash with (70.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.75.
Ocular Therapeutix has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Ocular Therapeutix CEO Pravin Dugel sells 186,326 in stock

Ocular Therapeutix Upcoming and Recent Events

4th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
4th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Ocular Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ocular Therapeutix's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-11-05
2020-09-30-0.24-0.210.0312 
2024-08-07
2024-06-30-0.22-0.26-0.0418 
2023-08-07
2023-06-30-0.3-0.260.0413 
View All Earnings Estimates

Ocular Therapeutix Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Ocular Therapeutix's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Ocular Therapeutix's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Ocular Therapeutix's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Ocular Therapeutix's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Ocular Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corp2024-09-30
3.5 M
Perceptive Advisors Llc2024-09-30
3.3 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-03-30
3.3 M
Assenagon Asset Management Sa2024-09-30
2.8 M
Deltec Asset Management Llc2024-09-30
2.6 M
Octagon Capital Advisors Lp2024-09-30
2.4 M
Braidwell Lp2024-09-30
2.2 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-09-30
M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
1.6 M
Summer Road Llc2024-09-30
14.4 M
Vr Adviser, Llc2024-09-30
12.8 M
Note, although Ocular Therapeutix's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ocular Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.58 B.

Ocular Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (2.26) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (2.65) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $2.65.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.32)(0.34)
Return On Capital Employed(0.38)(0.40)
Return On Assets(0.32)(0.34)
Return On Equity(0.89)(0.84)

Management Efficiency

Ocular Therapeutix has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2237) % which means that it has lost $0.2237 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.7267) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Ocular Therapeutix's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Ocular Therapeutix manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to -0.34. The value of Return On Capital Employed is expected to slide to -0.4. At this time, Ocular Therapeutix's Asset Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 1.14  1.20 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 1.14  1.20 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(3.67)(3.85)
Price Book Value Ratio 3.91  4.10 
Enterprise Value Multiple(3.67)(3.85)
Price Fair Value 3.91  4.10 
Enterprise Value243.6 M200.8 M
Ocular Therapeutix benefits from a management team that prioritizes both innovation and efficiency. We analyze these priorities to gauge the stock's future performance.
Operating Margin
(2.65)
Profit Margin
(2.26)
Beta
1.256
Return On Assets
(0.22)
Return On Equity
(0.73)

Technical Drivers

As of the 2nd of December, Ocular Therapeutix holds the Coefficient Of Variation of 1721.22, risk adjusted performance of 0.0523, and Semi Deviation of 2.94. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Ocular Therapeutix, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Ocular Therapeutix jensen alpha and downside variance to decide if Ocular Therapeutix is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 9.89 per share. Given that Ocular Therapeutix has jensen alpha of (0.04), we recommend you to check out Ocular Therapeutix's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Ocular Therapeutix Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Ocular Therapeutix middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Ocular Therapeutix. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Ocular Therapeutix Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Ocular Therapeutix insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Ocular Therapeutix's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Ocular Therapeutix insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Ocular Therapeutix Outstanding Bonds

Ocular Therapeutix issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Ocular Therapeutix uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Ocular bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Ocular Therapeutix has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Ocular Therapeutix Predictive Daily Indicators

Ocular Therapeutix intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Ocular Therapeutix stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Ocular Therapeutix Corporate Filings

F4
27th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
14th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
12th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
8th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
4th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
22nd of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
9th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F3
4th of October 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify

Ocular Therapeutix Forecast Models

Ocular Therapeutix's time-series forecasting models are one of many Ocular Therapeutix's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ocular Therapeutix's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Ocular Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Ocular Therapeutix prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Ocular shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Ocular Therapeutix. By using and applying Ocular Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Ocular entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(1.38)(1.45)
Operating Profit Margin(1.41)(1.48)
Net Loss(1.38)(1.45)
Gross Profit Margin 0.91  0.61 

Current Ocular Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Ocular analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Ocular analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
13.13Strong Buy8Odds
Ocular Therapeutix current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Ocular analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ocular stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ocular Therapeutix, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ocular conference calls.
Ocular Analyst Advice Details

Ocular Stock Analysis Indicators

Ocular Therapeutix stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Ocular Therapeutix stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Ocular Therapeutix shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Ocular Therapeutix stock analysis, traders can identify Ocular Therapeutix position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow104.1 M
Long Term Debt74.9 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding85.6 M
Total Stockholder Equity91.1 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net18.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments195.8 M
Cash195.8 M
Accounts Payable4.4 M
Net Debt-112.4 M
50 Day M A9.9562
Total Current Liabilities34.9 M
Other Operating Expenses140.8 M
Non Current Assets Total19.8 M
Non Currrent Assets Other1.6 M
Stock Based Compensation17.8 M
When determining whether Ocular Therapeutix is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ocular Therapeutix's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ocular Therapeutix's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ocular Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ocular Therapeutix. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
For more information on how to buy Ocular Stock please use our How to buy in Ocular Stock guide.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ocular Therapeutix. If investors know Ocular will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ocular Therapeutix listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.29)
Revenue Per Share
0.529
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.083
Return On Assets
(0.22)
Return On Equity
(0.73)
The market value of Ocular Therapeutix is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ocular that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ocular Therapeutix's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ocular Therapeutix's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ocular Therapeutix's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ocular Therapeutix's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ocular Therapeutix's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ocular Therapeutix is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ocular Therapeutix's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.