Peloton Interactive Stock Analysis

PTON Stock  USD 10.34  0.61  6.27%   
Peloton Interactive is overvalued with Real Value of 8.09 and Target Price of 7.56. The main objective of Peloton Interactive stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Peloton Interactive is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Peloton Interactive's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Peloton Interactive stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Peloton Interactive is usually not traded on Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day. Peloton Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Peloton Interactive. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
To learn how to invest in Peloton Stock, please use our How to Invest in Peloton Interactive guide.

Peloton Stock Analysis Notes

About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.05. Peloton Interactive recorded a loss per share of 1.07. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Peloton Interactive, Inc. operates interactive fitness platform in North America and internationally. Peloton Interactive, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Peloton Interactive operates under Leisure classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 6048 people. To find out more about Peloton Interactive contact Karen Boone at 917 671 9198 or learn more at https://www.onepeloton.com.

Peloton Interactive Quarterly Total Revenue

586 Million

Peloton Interactive Investment Alerts

Peloton Interactive is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Peloton Interactive appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Peloton Interactive has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.7 B. Net Loss for the year was (551.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 923.6 M.
Peloton Interactive currently holds about 1.25 B in cash with (66.1 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.7.
Peloton Interactive has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Peloton Interactive Unusual Options Activity For November 25

Peloton Interactive Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Peloton Interactive to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
1st of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
28th of August 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
30th of June 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Peloton Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Peloton Interactive's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-05-06
2020-03-31-0.18-0.2-0.0211 
2024-08-21
2024-06-30-0.17-0.22-0.0529 
2024-05-02
2024-03-31-0.37-0.43-0.0616 
View All Earnings Estimates

Peloton Interactive Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Peloton Interactive's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Peloton Interactive's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Peloton Interactive's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Peloton Interactive's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Peloton Interactive Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Peloton Interactive stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Corona Opportunity Idea
Corona Opportunity
Coronavirus related entities to consider during and after the outbreak
Recreation Idea
Recreation
USA Equities from Recreation industry as classified by Fama & French

Peloton Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Capital World Investors2024-09-30
7.7 M
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
7.7 M
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-06-30
7.2 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
6.4 M
Patients Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
5.1 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
M
Technology Crossover Management Ix, Ltd.2024-09-30
3.7 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
3.7 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
84.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
33.4 M
Note, although Peloton Interactive's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Peloton Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 3.71 B.

Peloton Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.15) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.07 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.07.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.26)(0.27)
Return On Capital Employed(0.35)(0.37)
Return On Assets(0.25)(0.27)
Return On Equity 1.06  1.12 

Management Efficiency

Peloton Interactive has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0688) % which means that it has lost $0.0688 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (8.4735) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Peloton Interactive's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Peloton Interactive manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 29th of November 2024, Return On Equity is likely to grow to 1.12, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.27). At this time, Peloton Interactive's Fixed Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(1.42)(1.35)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(1.57)(1.50)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(7.77)(8.15)
Price Book Value Ratio(2.29)(2.17)
Enterprise Value Multiple(7.77)(8.15)
Price Fair Value(2.29)(2.17)
Enterprise Value2.6 B2.4 B
The management team at Peloton Interactive has a track record of steering the company towards sustained growth. Evaluating their strategies helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Operating Margin
0.0748
Profit Margin
(0.15)
Beta
1.927
Return On Assets
(0.07)
Return On Equity
(8.47)

Technical Drivers

As of the 29th of November, Peloton Interactive holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1682, semi deviation of 3.7, and Coefficient Of Variation of 480.39. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Peloton Interactive, as well as the relationship between them.

Peloton Interactive Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nine with a total number of output elements of fifty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Peloton Interactive middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Peloton Interactive. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Peloton Interactive Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Peloton Interactive insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Peloton Interactive's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Peloton Interactive insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Peloton Interactive Outstanding Bonds

Peloton Interactive issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Peloton Interactive uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Peloton bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Peloton Interactive has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Peloton Interactive Predictive Daily Indicators

Peloton Interactive intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Peloton Interactive stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Peloton Interactive Corporate Filings

F4
22nd of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
21st of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
19th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
13th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
8th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
4th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
31st of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Peloton Interactive Forecast Models

Peloton Interactive's time-series forecasting models are one of many Peloton Interactive's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Peloton Interactive's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Peloton Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Peloton Interactive prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Peloton shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Peloton Interactive. By using and applying Peloton Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Peloton entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.20)(0.21)
Operating Profit Margin(0.20)(0.21)
Net Loss(0.20)(0.21)
Gross Profit Margin 0.45  0.41 

Current Peloton Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Peloton analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Peloton analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
7.56Buy21Odds
Peloton Interactive current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Peloton analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Peloton stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Peloton Interactive, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Peloton conference calls.
Peloton Analyst Advice Details

Peloton Stock Analysis Indicators

Peloton Interactive stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Peloton Interactive stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Peloton Interactive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Peloton Interactive stock analysis, traders can identify Peloton Interactive position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow885.5 M
Long Term Debt1.5 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding365.5 M
Total Stockholder Equity-519.1 M
Tax Provision-200 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net788.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments697.6 M
Cash697.6 M
Accounts Payable85.4 M
Net Debt1.4 B
50 Day M A6.5108
Total Current Liabilities685.2 M
Other Operating Expenses3.2 B
Non Current Assets Total919.2 M
Forward Price Earnings153.8462
Non Currrent Assets Other74.3 M
Stock Based Compensation311.7 M
When determining whether Peloton Interactive offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Peloton Interactive's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Peloton Interactive Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Peloton Interactive Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Peloton Interactive. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
To learn how to invest in Peloton Stock, please use our How to Invest in Peloton Interactive guide.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Leisure Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Peloton Interactive. If investors know Peloton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Peloton Interactive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.07)
Revenue Per Share
7.26
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Return On Assets
(0.07)
Return On Equity
(8.47)
The market value of Peloton Interactive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Peloton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Peloton Interactive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Peloton Interactive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Peloton Interactive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Peloton Interactive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Peloton Interactive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Peloton Interactive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Peloton Interactive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.