Real Good Food Stock Analysis

RGF Stock  USD 0.27  0.01  3.85%   
Real Good Food is undervalued with Real Value of 1.87 and Target Price of 6.67. The main objective of Real Good stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Real Good Food is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Real Good's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Real Good stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Real Good's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Real Good Food. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Real Stock Analysis Notes

About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.19. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Real Good Food recorded a loss per share of 2.06. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The Real Good Food Company, Inc., through its subsidiary, Real Good Foods, LLC operates as a health and wellness focused frozen food company in the United States. The Real Good Food Company, Inc. was founded in 2016 and is based in Cherry Hill, New Jersey. Real Good operates under Packaged Foods classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 107 people. To find out more about Real Good Food contact Gerard Law at 856 644 5624 or learn more at https://www.realgoodfoods.com.

Real Good Quarterly Total Revenue

55.56 Million

Real Good Food Investment Alerts

Real Good Food generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Real Good Food has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Real Good Food has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the last year's revenue of 156.38 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (15.18 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 15.7 M.
Real Good Food has about 10.34 M in cash with (36.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Real Good Food has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: The Real Good Food Company Receives Anticipated Additional Delinquency Notice from Nasdaq

Real Good Food Upcoming and Recent Events

25th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
10th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
25th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Real Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Real Good's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-12-07
2021-09-30-0.23-0.190.0417 
2023-08-11
2023-06-30-0.21-0.29-0.0838 
2022-08-12
2022-06-30-0.22-0.10.1254 
View All Earnings Estimates

Real Good Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Real Good stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Food Products Idea
Food Products
USA Equities from Food Products industry as classified by Fama & French

Real Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Private Advisor Group, Llc2024-09-30
20.5 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
19.7 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-06-30
16.3 K
Envestnet Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
15.5 K
Two Sigma Securities, Llc2024-06-30
15.4 K
Virtu Financial Llc2024-06-30
15.3 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
10.3 K
Bayshore Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
10 K
Pineridge Advisors Llc2024-09-30
K
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
2.6 M
B. Riley Financial Inc2024-09-30
940.5 K
Note, although Real Good's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Real Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Nano-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 9.3 M.

Real Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of (0.1) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of (0.16) %, which entails that for every $100 of revenue, it lost $0.16.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.08)(0.09)
Return On Capital Employed(0.35)(0.37)
Return On Assets(0.08)(0.08)
Return On Equity(0.36)(0.34)

Management Efficiency

Real Good Food has Return on Asset of (0.1795) % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it lost $0.1795. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of (31.6409) %, meaning that it generated no profit with money invested by stockholders. Real Good's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Real Good manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to decrease to -0.09. The current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to decrease to -0.37. At this time, Real Good's Non Current Assets Total are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Real Good's current Non Currrent Assets Other is estimated to increase to about 2.2 M, while Other Current Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 1.1 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(1.18)(1.24)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(2.99)(3.14)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(3.71)(3.90)
Price Book Value Ratio 1.05  1.10 
Enterprise Value Multiple(3.71)(3.90)
Price Fair Value 1.05  1.10 
Enterprise Value130.1 M77.2 M
At Real Good Food, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Operating Margin
(0.16)
Profit Margin
(0.1)
Beta
0.538
Return On Assets
(0.18)
Return On Equity
(31.64)

Technical Drivers

As of the 28th of November, Real Good holds the Variance of 45.58, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,402). Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Real Good, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Real Good Food mean deviation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and potential upside to decide if Real Good Food is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 0.27 per share. As Real Good Food appears to be a penny stock we also advise to check out its jensen alpha numbers.

Real Good Food Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Real Good middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Real Good Food. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Real Good Food Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Real Good insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Real Good's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Real Good insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Real Good Outstanding Bonds

Real Good issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Real Good Food uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Real bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Real Good Food has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Real Good Predictive Daily Indicators

Real Good intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Real Good stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Real Good Forecast Models

Real Good's time-series forecasting models are one of many Real Good's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Real Good's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Real Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Real Good prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Real Good. By using and applying Real Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Real entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.37)(0.39)
Operating Profit Margin(0.31)(0.33)
Net Loss(0.07)(0.07)
Gross Profit Margin 0.11  0.12 

Current Real Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Real analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Real analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
6.67Strong Buy1Odds
Real Good Food current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Real analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Real stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Real Good Food, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Real conference calls.
Real Analyst Advice Details

Real Stock Analysis Indicators

Real Good Food stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Real Good stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Real Good shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Real Good stock analysis, traders can identify Real Good position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow5.4 M
Long Term Debt69.5 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity35.1 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net49.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.3 M
Cash5.3 M
Accounts Payable23.4 M
Net Debt103.5 M
50 Day M A0.3292
Total Current Liabilities33.2 M
Non Current Assets Total65.3 M
Non Currrent Assets Other1.2 M
Stock Based Compensation7.3 M

Complementary Tools for Real Stock analysis

When running Real Good's price analysis, check to measure Real Good's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Real Good is operating at the current time. Most of Real Good's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Real Good's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Real Good's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Real Good to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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