Ryvyl Inc Stock Analysis

RVYL Stock  USD 1.61  0.13  8.78%   
Ryvyl Inc is undervalued with Real Value of 2.05 and Target Price of 2.5. The main objective of Ryvyl stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Ryvyl Inc is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Ryvyl's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Ryvyl stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ryvyl Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Ryvyl Stock Analysis Notes

About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.88. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Ryvyl Inc recorded a loss per share of 8.6. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 7th of September 2023. GreenBox POS, a technology company, engages in the development, marketing, and sale of blockchain-based payment solutions. GreenBox POS was incorporated in 2007 and is based in San Diego, California. Ryvyl operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 50 people. To find out more about Ryvyl Inc contact Paul Levine at 619 631 8261 or learn more at https://www.ryvyl.com.

Ryvyl Inc Investment Alerts

Ryvyl Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ryvyl Inc may become a speculative penny stock
Ryvyl Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Ryvyl Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 65.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (53.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.12 M.
About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Montoya David of 4672 shares of Ryvyl at 1.07 subject to Rule 16b-3

Ryvyl Inc Upcoming and Recent Events

15th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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27th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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15th of April 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Ryvyl Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ryvyl's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-08-12
2021-06-300.01-0.0013-0.0113113 
2021-11-11
2021-09-300.120.04-0.0866 
2022-11-21
2022-09-30-0.23-0.32-0.0939 
View All Earnings Estimates

Ryvyl Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Goss Wealth Management Llc2024-09-30
262
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
35.0
Steward Partners Investment Advisory, Llc2024-09-30
15.0
Citigroup Inc2024-09-30
1.0
Ubs Group Ag2024-09-30
1.0
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
0.0
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
41.3 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
36.1 K
Cross Staff Investments Inc2024-09-30
31.1 K
Heights Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
27.2 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
24.7 K
Note, although Ryvyl's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ryvyl Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 13.66 M.

Ryvyl Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.7) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.22) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.22.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.55)(0.52)
Return On Capital Employed(0.29)(0.27)
Return On Assets(0.41)(0.39)
Return On Equity(2.26)(2.15)

Management Efficiency

Ryvyl Inc has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0539) % which means that it has lost $0.0539 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (8.8245) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Ryvyl's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Ryvyl manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to -0.52 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to -0.27 this year. At this time, Ryvyl's Intangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 4.47  4.70 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(1.58)(1.51)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(0.89)(0.93)
Price Book Value Ratio 0.93  0.88 
Enterprise Value Multiple(0.89)(0.93)
Price Fair Value 0.93  0.88 
Enterprise Value30 M26.6 M
The strategic vision of Ryvyl Inc management plays a critical role in its financial performance. By evaluating this vision, we provide insights into the stock's growth potential.
Operating Margin
(0.22)
Profit Margin
(0.70)
Beta
4.338
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(8.82)

Technical Drivers

As of the 12th of December 2024, Ryvyl holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.086, semi deviation of 7.8, and Coefficient Of Variation of 942.65. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Ryvyl, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Ryvyl Inc standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis to decide if Ryvyl Inc is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 1.61 per share. Please also confirm Ryvyl Inc total risk alpha, which is currently at (0.59) to check out the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Ryvyl Inc Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was fourty-one with a total number of output elements of twenty. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Ryvyl middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Ryvyl Inc. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Ryvyl Inc Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Ryvyl insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Ryvyl's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Ryvyl insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Ryvyl Predictive Daily Indicators

Ryvyl intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Ryvyl stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Ryvyl Forecast Models

Ryvyl's time-series forecasting models are one of many Ryvyl's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ryvyl's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Ryvyl Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Ryvyl prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Ryvyl shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Ryvyl. By using and applying Ryvyl Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Ryvyl entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.80)(0.84)
Operating Profit Margin(0.19)(0.20)
Net Loss(0.81)(0.85)
Gross Profit Margin 0.39  0.51 

Current Ryvyl Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Ryvyl analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Ryvyl analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
2.5Buy2Odds
Ryvyl Inc current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Ryvyl analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ryvyl stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ryvyl Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ryvyl conference calls.
Ryvyl Analyst Advice Details

Ryvyl Stock Analysis Indicators

Ryvyl Inc stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Ryvyl stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Ryvyl shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Ryvyl stock analysis, traders can identify Ryvyl position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow40.8 M
Long Term Debt15.9 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.3 M
Total Stockholder Equity23.5 M
Tax Provision92.3 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net4.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.2 M
Cash12.2 M
Accounts Payable1.8 M
Net Debt8.1 M
50 Day M A1.4988
Total Current Liabilities85.5 M
Other Operating Expenses78.2 M
Non Current Assets Total38.8 M
Forward Price Earnings3.3156
Non Currrent Assets Other2.4 M
Stock Based Compensation1.9 M
When determining whether Ryvyl Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ryvyl's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ryvyl's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ryvyl Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ryvyl Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ryvyl. If investors know Ryvyl will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ryvyl listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(8.60)
Revenue Per Share
11.814
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.20)
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(8.82)
The market value of Ryvyl Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ryvyl that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ryvyl's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ryvyl's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ryvyl's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ryvyl's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ryvyl's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ryvyl is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ryvyl's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.