Swvl Holdings Corp Stock Analysis

SWVL Stock  USD 6.32  0.09  1.40%   
Swvl Holdings Corp is undervalued with Real Value of 24.82 and Target Price of 81.25. The main objective of Swvl Holdings stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Swvl Holdings Corp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Swvl Holdings' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Swvl Holdings stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Swvl Holdings Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Swvl Stock Analysis Notes

About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Swvl Holdings Corp had 1:25 split on the 26th of January 2023. Swvl Holdings Corp. provides mass transit ridesharing services. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates. Swvl Holdings is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States. To find out more about Swvl Holdings Corp contact Mostafa Kandil at 971 4 2241 1293 or learn more at https://www.swvl.com.

Swvl Holdings Quarterly Total Revenue

5.87 Million

Swvl Holdings Corp Investment Alerts

Swvl Holdings Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Swvl Holdings Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Swvl Holdings Corp currently holds 1.66 M in liabilities. Swvl Holdings Corp has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Swvl Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Swvl Holdings Corp currently holds about 24.3 M in cash with (9.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18.
Swvl Holdings Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Swvl to Provide Last-Mile Shuttle Services for SAB Bank Following Riyadh Metro Launch

Swvl Holdings Corp Upcoming and Recent Events

4th of November 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Swvl Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Swvl Holdings' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-04-13
2022-03-31-0.17-0.21-0.0423 
2023-03-01
2022-12-31-0.08-0.53-0.45562 
2022-08-17
2022-06-30-5-0.734.2785 
View All Earnings Estimates

Swvl Holdings Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Swvl Holdings' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Swvl Holdings' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Swvl Holdings' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Swvl Holdings' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Swvl Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Gerber Llc2024-09-30
12.5 K
Marathon Trading Investment Management Llc2024-09-30
10 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
7.6 K
Kepos Capital Lp2024-09-30
1.1 K
Ifp Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
1000
Ubs Group Ag2024-09-30
222
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-09-30
1.0
Connective Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
0.0
Qube Research & Technologies2024-09-30
0.0
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-09-30
0.0
Hite Hedge Asset Management Mlp2024-09-30
0.0
Note, although Swvl Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Swvl Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 67.75 M.

Swvl Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.13 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.43) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.43.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.14  0.15 
Return On Capital Employed 1.70  1.78 
Return On Assets 0.14  0.15 
Return On Equity 0.34  0.36 

Management Efficiency

Swvl Holdings Corp has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1309) % which means that it has lost $0.1309 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.9633 %, meaning that it created $0.9633 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Swvl Holdings' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Swvl Holdings manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to 0.15 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to 1.78 this year. At this time, Swvl Holdings' Return On Assets are quite stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.87  0.92 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.84  0.88 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 2.03  2.13 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.27  1.20 
Enterprise Value Multiple 2.03  2.13 
Price Fair Value 1.27  1.20 
Enterprise Value15.4 M13.7 M
The leadership approach at Swvl Holdings' fosters a culture of excellence and accountability. Our analysis examines how this culture influences financial outcomes and stock valuation.
Operating Margin
(0.43)
Profit Margin
0.1338
Beta
0.195
Return On Assets
(0.13)
Return On Equity
0.9633

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of December, Swvl Holdings has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1732, coefficient of variation of 486.46, and Semi Deviation of 4.4. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Swvl Holdings Corp, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Swvl Holdings Corp standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis to decide if Swvl Holdings is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 6.32 per share. Given that Swvl Holdings Corp has jensen alpha of 1.44, we advise you to double-check Swvl Holdings Corp's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Swvl Holdings Corp Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Swvl Holdings middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Swvl Holdings Corp. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Swvl Holdings Outstanding Bonds

Swvl Holdings issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Swvl Holdings Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Swvl bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Swvl Holdings Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Swvl Holdings Predictive Daily Indicators

Swvl Holdings intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Swvl Holdings stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Swvl Holdings Corporate Filings

6K
23rd of December 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
2nd of December 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
25th of November 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
21st of November 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
20th of November 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
6K
18th of November 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
15th of November 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
15th of October 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify

Swvl Holdings Forecast Models

Swvl Holdings' time-series forecasting models are one of many Swvl Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Swvl Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Swvl Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Swvl Holdings prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Swvl shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Swvl Holdings. By using and applying Swvl Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Swvl entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.18  0.19 
Operating Profit Margin 0.53  0.56 
Net Profit Margin 0.13  0.14 
Gross Profit Margin 0.18  0.19 

Current Swvl Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Swvl analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Swvl analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
81.25Hold1Odds
Swvl Holdings Corp current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Swvl analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Swvl stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Swvl Holdings Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Swvl conference calls.
Swvl Analyst Advice Details

Swvl Stock Analysis Indicators

Swvl Holdings Corp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Swvl Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Swvl Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Swvl Holdings stock analysis, traders can identify Swvl Holdings position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow2.7 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11 M
Total Stockholder EquityM
Tax Provision-41.3 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net1.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.9 M
Cash2.9 M
Accounts Payable6.8 M
Net Debt-1.3 M
50 Day M A4.9732
Total Current Liabilities14.8 M
Other Operating Expenses10.8 M
Non Current Assets Total10.9 M
Non Currrent Assets Other9.5 M
Stock Based Compensation3.3 M
When determining whether Swvl Holdings Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Swvl Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Swvl Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Swvl Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Swvl Holdings Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Swvl Holdings. If investors know Swvl will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Swvl Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.37
Revenue Per Share
3.368
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.49)
Return On Assets
(0.13)
Return On Equity
0.9633
The market value of Swvl Holdings Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Swvl that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Swvl Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Swvl Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Swvl Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Swvl Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Swvl Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Swvl Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Swvl Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.