Alliance Data Valuation

0HCR Stock   59.00  1.21  2.09%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Alliance Data Systems shows a prevailing Real Value of USD56.45 per share. The current price of the firm is USD59.0. Our model approximates the value of Alliance Data Systems from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.13 %, return on equity of 0.11, and Current Valuation of 4.04 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Enterprise Value
B
Price Sales
1.2454
Trailing PE
0.0407
Overvalued
Today
59.00
Please note that Alliance Data's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alliance Data Systems is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alliance Data's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Alliance stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Alliance Data Systems. Since Alliance Data is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alliance Stock. However, Alliance Data's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  59.0 Real  56.45 Hype  59.04
The intrinsic value of Alliance Data's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Alliance Data's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
56.45
Real Value
60.04
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alliance Data Systems helps investors to forecast how Alliance stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alliance Data more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alliance Data's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.4559.0462.63
Details

Alliance Data Cash

2.91 Billion

Alliance Data Total Value Analysis

Alliance Data Systems is presently projected to have takeover price of 4.04 B with market capitalization of 307.25 B, debt of 5.03 B, and cash on hands of . Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Alliance Data fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company

Alliance Data Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.49. Alliance Data Systems had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 771:611 split on the 8th of November 2021. Based on the key measurements obtained from Alliance Data's financial statements, Alliance Data Systems is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to report excellent financial results in January.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.9 BB
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.7 B1.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Alliance Data Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Alliance Data has an asset utilization ratio of 13.16 percent. This implies that the Company is making USD0.13 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Alliance Data Systems is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Alliance Data Ownership Allocation

Alliance Data Systems retains a total of 54.47 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Alliance Data Systems outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Alliance Data Systems to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Alliance Data. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Alliance Data Systems as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Note that regardless of who owns the company, if the true value of the entity is less than the market is willing to pay for it, you may not be able to generate positive returns over time.

Alliance Data Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 3.06 B. Net Income was 718 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.6 B.

About Alliance Data Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Alliance Data's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Alliance Data Systems based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alliance Data. We calculate exposure to Alliance Data's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Alliance Data's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit4.9 B5.2 B

Additional Tools for Alliance Stock Analysis

When running Alliance Data's price analysis, check to measure Alliance Data's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alliance Data is operating at the current time. Most of Alliance Data's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alliance Data's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alliance Data's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alliance Data to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.