Alfa SAB Valuation

ALFAA Stock  MXN 14.99  0.08  0.54%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Alfa SAB de shows a prevailing Real Value of 15.1 per share. The current price of the firm is 14.99. Our model approximates the value of Alfa SAB de from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of 0.02 %, and Return On Equity of 0.21 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Fairly Valued
Today
14.99
Please note that Alfa SAB's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alfa SAB de is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alfa SAB's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Alfa stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Alfa SAB de. Since Alfa SAB is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alfa Stock. However, Alfa SAB's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  14.99 Real  15.1 Hype  14.99 Naive  13.88
The intrinsic value of Alfa SAB's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Alfa SAB's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.10
Real Value
18.31
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alfa SAB de helps investors to forecast how Alfa stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alfa SAB more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alfa SAB's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.4915.2315.98
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7814.9918.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.6713.8817.09
Details

Alfa SAB Total Value Analysis

Alfa SAB de is presently expected to have takeover price of 155.07 B with market capitalization of 63.22 B, debt of 116.23 B, and cash on hands of 30.95 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Alfa SAB fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
155.07 B
63.22 B
116.23 B
30.95 B

Alfa SAB Investor Information

About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.49. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alfa SAB de has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.25. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2022. The firm had 10:1 split on the 25th of September 2012. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Alfa SAB's historical financial statements, Alfa SAB de is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in December.

Alfa SAB Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Alfa SAB has an asset utilization ratio of 114.47 percent. This suggests that the Company is making 1.14 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Alfa SAB de is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Alfa SAB Ownership Allocation

Alfa SAB holds a total of 4.82 Billion outstanding shares. Alfa SAB de shows majority of its outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a corporate executive, director, member of the board or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. 89.0 percent of Alfa SAB de outstanding shares that are owned by insiders signifies that they have been buying or selling the stock in recent months in anticipation of some upcoming event. Also note that nearly three hundred fourty million six hundred ninety thousand five hundred eighty-one invesors are currently shorting Alfa SAB expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Alfa SAB Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 308.06 B. Net Income was 4.11 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 69.42 B.

About Alfa SAB Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alfa SAB de. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Alfa SAB de based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Alfa SAB's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Alfa SAB's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alfa SAB. We calculate exposure to Alfa SAB's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Alfa SAB's related companies.
Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. engages in the petrochemicals and synthetic fibers, refrigerated foods, telecommunications, and natural gas and hydrocarbons businesses in Mexico, the United States, Canada, Central America, Europe, and internationally. Alfa, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 1974 and is based in San Pedro Garza Garca, Mexico. ALFA S operates under Conglomerates classification in Mexico and is traded on Mexico Stock Exchange. It employs 56899 people.

8 Steps to conduct Alfa SAB's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Alfa SAB's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Alfa SAB's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Alfa SAB's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Alfa SAB's revenue streams: Identify Alfa SAB's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Alfa SAB's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Alfa SAB's growth potential: Evaluate Alfa SAB's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Alfa SAB's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Alfa SAB's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Other Information on Investing in Alfa Stock

Alfa SAB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alfa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alfa with respect to the benefits of owning Alfa SAB security.