Refinaria Valuation

RPMG3 Stock  BRL 2.53  0.16  5.95%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the company appears to be overvalued. Refinaria de Petrleos holds a recent Real Value of R$2.46 per share. The prevailing price of the company is R$2.53. Our model determines the value of Refinaria de Petrleos from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Shares Owned By Insiders of 65.01 %, current valuation of 104.9 M, and Return On Asset of -0.12 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
2.53
Please note that Refinaria's price fluctuation is unstable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Refinaria de Petrleos is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Refinaria's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Refinaria stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Refinaria de Petrleos. Since Refinaria is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Refinaria Stock. However, Refinaria's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  2.53 Real  2.46 Hype  2.69 Naive  2.76
The intrinsic value of Refinaria's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Refinaria's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
2.46
Real Value
5.16
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Refinaria de Petrleos helps investors to forecast how Refinaria stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Refinaria more accurately as focusing exclusively on Refinaria's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.332.783.23
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.695.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.062.765.46
Details

Refinaria Total Value Analysis

Refinaria de Petrleos is at this time projected to have takeover price of 104.9 M with market capitalization of 106.94 M, debt of 0, and cash on hands of 47 K. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Refinaria fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company

Refinaria Investor Information

About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 7.3. Refinaria de Petrleos had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:20 split on the 28th of April 2016. Based on the key measurements obtained from Refinaria's financial statements, Refinaria de Petrleos is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in January.

Refinaria Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Refinaria has an asset utilization ratio of 52.69 percent. This implies that the Company is making R$0.53 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Refinaria de Petrleos is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Refinaria Ownership Allocation

Refinaria owns a total of 67.68 Million outstanding shares. Refinaria holds majority of its outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a corporate executive, director, member of the board or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. 65.01 pct. of Refinaria de Petrleos outstanding shares that are owned by insiders implies they have been buying or selling the stock in recent months in anticipation of some upcoming event. Please note that no matter how many assets the company maintains, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Refinaria Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 2.21 B. Net Loss for the year was (361.76 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (61.38 M).

About Refinaria Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Refinaria's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Refinaria de Petrleos based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Refinaria. We calculate exposure to Refinaria's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Refinaria's related companies.
Refinaria de Petrleos de Manguinhos S.A. refines petroleum products in Brazil. Refinaria de Petrleos de Manguinhos S.A. is a subsidiary of Manguinhos Participacoes S.A. PET MANGUINHON operates under Oil Gas Refining Marketing classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange.

8 Steps to conduct Refinaria's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Refinaria's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Refinaria's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Refinaria's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Refinaria's revenue streams: Identify Refinaria's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Refinaria's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Refinaria's growth potential: Evaluate Refinaria's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Refinaria's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Refinaria's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Additional Tools for Refinaria Stock Analysis

When running Refinaria's price analysis, check to measure Refinaria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Refinaria is operating at the current time. Most of Refinaria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Refinaria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Refinaria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Refinaria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.