Esco Technologies Stock Volatility
| ESE Stock | USD 148.41 0.32 0.22% |
ESCO Technologies appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. ESCO Technologies retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.25, which denotes the company had a 0.25% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for ESCO Technologies, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize ESCO Technologies' Coefficient Of Variation of 478.46, market risk adjusted performance of 0.2386, and Downside Deviation of 1.51 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to ESCO Technologies' volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
ESCO Technologies Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of ESCO daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use ESCO's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of ESCO Technologies volatility.
ESCO |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, ESCO Technologies' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to ESCO Technologies' managers and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as ESCO Technologies can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of ESCO Technologies at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of ESCO Technologies' stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving together with ESCO Stock
| 0.76 | ELSE | Electro Sensors | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | WELX | Winland Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.92 | FARO | FARO Technologies | PairCorr |
Moving against ESCO Stock
| 0.79 | ST | Sensata Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | WATT | Energous | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | VPG | Vishay Precision | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | SVREW | SaverOne 2014 | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | LUNA | Luna Innovations | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | KNW | Know Labs Fiscal Year End 17th of December 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | FCUV | Focus Universal | PairCorr |
ESCO Technologies Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
ESCO Technologies' beta coefficient measures the volatility of ESCO stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents ESCO stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, ESCO Technologies's beta of 1.56 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk ESCO Technologies stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. ESCO Technologies has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.66 and kurtosis of 9.47. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ESCO Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ESCO Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze ESCO Technologies Demand TrendCheck current 90 days ESCO Technologies correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)ESCO Beta |
ESCO standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.68 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by ESCO Technologies's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of ESCO Technologies' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in esco stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in ESCO Technologies.
Using ESCO Put Option to Manage Risk
Put options written on ESCO Technologies grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of ESCO Technologies at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of ESCO Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge ESCO Technologies' position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding ESCO Technologies will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.
ESCO Technologies' PUT expiring on 2024-12-20
Profit |
| ESCO Technologies Price At Expiration |
Current ESCO Technologies Insurance Chain
| Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||
Put | ESE Option Put 20-12-2024 140 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 2024-12-20 | 0.0 - 4.3 | 3.75 | View |
Put | ESE Option Put 20-12-2024 135 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2024-12-20 | 0.0 - 4.8 | 0.05 | View |
Put | ESE Option Put 20-12-2024 115 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 2024-12-20 | 0.0 - 4.8 | 1.55 | View |
Put | ESE Option Put 20-12-2024 100 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 2024-12-20 | 3.6 - 4.2 | 6.1 | View |
Put | ESE Option Put 20-12-2024 85 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2024-12-20 | 0.0 - 4.7 | 1.0 | View |
ESCO Technologies Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which ESCO Technologies stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with ESCO Technologies' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of ESCO Technologies' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of ESCO Technologies' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures ESCO Technologies' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict ESCO Technologies' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for ESCO Technologies' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on ESCO Technologies' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. ESCO Technologies Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
ESCO Technologies Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.5584 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ESCO Technologies will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ESCO Technologies or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ESCO Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ESCO stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
ESCO Technologies has an alpha of 0.1575, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an ESCO Technologies Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.ESCO Technologies Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of ESCO Technologies is 395.76. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.84 and standard deviation of 1.68. The mean deviation of ESCO Technologies is currently at 1.1. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
ESCO Technologies Stock Return Volatility
ESCO Technologies historical daily return volatility represents how much of ESCO Technologies stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 1.6839% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7502% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About ESCO Technologies Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of ESCO Technologies or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of ESCO Technologies may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to ESCO's beta indicator, it measures the risk of ESCO Technologies and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of ESCO Technologies fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 8.4 M | 7.5 M | |
| Market Cap | 3.3 B | 3.5 B |
ESCO Technologies' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on ESCO Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much ESCO Technologies' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize ESCO Technologies' volatility to invest better
Higher ESCO Technologies' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of ESCO Technologies stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. ESCO Technologies stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of ESCO Technologies investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in ESCO Technologies' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of ESCO Technologies' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
ESCO Technologies Investment Opportunity
ESCO Technologies has a volatility of 1.68 and is 2.24 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of ESCO Technologies is lower than 14 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use ESCO Technologies to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of ESCO Technologies to be traded at $155.83 in 90 days.Poor diversification
The correlation between ESCO Technologies and DJI is 0.68 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ESCO Technologies and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
ESCO Technologies Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of ESCO Technologies' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ESCO Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of ESCO Technologies stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1654 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2386 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 478.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.75 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
ESCO Technologies Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against ESCO Technologies as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. ESCO Technologies' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, ESCO Technologies' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to ESCO Technologies.
Complementary Tools for ESCO Stock analysis
When running ESCO Technologies' price analysis, check to measure ESCO Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ESCO Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of ESCO Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ESCO Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ESCO Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ESCO Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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