Expand Energy Stock Volatility
| EXEEL Stock | 85.90 0.12 0.14% |
Expand Energy appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Expand Energy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.23, which denotes the company had a 0.23% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing Expand Energy's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.73% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Expand Energy's Coefficient Of Variation of 396.56, downside deviation of 3.09, and Mean Deviation of 1.9 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Expand Energy's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Expand Energy Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Expand daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Expand's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Expand Energy volatility.
Expand |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Expand Energy at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Expand stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with Expand Stock
| 0.78 | AR | Antero Resources Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | EP | Empire Petroleum Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | PR | Permian Resources | PairCorr |
| 0.92 | DMLP | Dorchester Minerals | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | VIST | Vista Oil Gas | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | VTLE | Vital Energy | PairCorr |
Moving against Expand Stock
| 0.91 | BRN | Barnwell Industries | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | BRY | Berry Petroleum Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | APA | APA Corporation | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | EGY | Vaalco Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | DVN | Devon Energy Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | BTE | Baytex Energy Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | EONR | EON Resources Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.38 | SD | SandRidge Energy | PairCorr |
Expand Energy Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Expand Energy's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Expand stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Expand stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Expand Energy's beta of 0.54 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Expand Energy stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Expand Energy shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Expand Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Expand Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Expand Energy Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Expand Energy correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Expand Beta |
Expand standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 3.14 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Expand Energy's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Expand Energy's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in expand stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Expand Energy.
Expand Energy Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Expand Energy stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Expand Energy's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Expand Energy's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Expand Energy's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Expand Energy's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Expand Energy's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Expand Energy's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Expand Energy's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Expand Energy Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Expand Energy Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Expand Energy has a beta of 0.5358 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Expand Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Expand Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Expand Energy or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Expand Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Expand stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Expand Energy has an alpha of 0.7376, implying that it can generate a 0.74 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Expand Energy Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Expand Energy Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Expand Energy is 427.45. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 9.87 and standard deviation of 3.14. The mean deviation of Expand Energy is currently at 1.83. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.73
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
Expand Energy Stock Return Volatility
Expand Energy historical daily return volatility represents how much of Expand Energy stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 3.1412% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7242% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Expand Energy Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Expand Energy or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Expand Energy may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Expand's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Expand Energy and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Expand Energy fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Expand Energy's volatility to invest better
Higher Expand Energy's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Expand Energy stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Expand Energy stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Expand Energy investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Expand Energy's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Expand Energy's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Expand Energy Investment Opportunity
Expand Energy has a volatility of 3.14 and is 4.36 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Expand Energy is lower than 27 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Expand Energy to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Expand Energy to be traded at 85.04 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between Expand Energy and DJI is 0.12 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Expand Energy and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Expand Energy Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Expand Energy's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Expand Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Expand Energy stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1905 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.48 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.09 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 396.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.16 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Expand Energy Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Expand Energy as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Expand Energy's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Expand Energy's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Expand Energy.
When determining whether Expand Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Expand Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Expand Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Expand Energy Stock: Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Expand Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income. For more information on how to buy Expand Stock please use our How to buy in Expand Stock guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Petroleum and Natural Gas space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Expand Energy. If investors know Expand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Expand Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Expand Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Expand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Expand Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Expand Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Expand Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Expand Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Expand Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Expand Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Expand Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.