First National Of Stock Volatility
| FINN Stock | USD 12,100 0.00 0.00% |
As of now, First Pink Sheet is very steady. First National secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0474, which denotes the company had a 0.0474% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-five technical indicators for First National of, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm First National's Coefficient Of Variation of 6246.91, downside deviation of 1.97, and Mean Deviation of 0.9338 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0599%. Key indicators related to First National's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
First National Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of First daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use First's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of First National volatility.
First |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as First National can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of First National at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase First stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of First National's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with First Pink Sheet
Moving against First Pink Sheet
| 0.63 | KO | Coca Cola Fiscal Year End 11th of February 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | EC | Ecopetrol SA ADR | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | BA | Boeing Fiscal Year End 29th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | PTAIY | Astra International Tbk | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | PFE | Pfizer Inc Fiscal Year End 4th of February 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | PKX | POSCO Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | PG | Procter Gamble | PairCorr |
First National Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
First National's beta coefficient measures the volatility of First pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents First pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, First National's beta of -0.0919 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk First National pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. First National of has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.53 and kurtosis of 0.64. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First National's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First National's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze First National Demand TrendCheck current 90 days First National correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)First Beta |
First standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.26 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by First National's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of First National's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in first pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in First National.
First National Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which First National pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with First National's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of First National's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of First National's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures First National's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict First National's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for First National's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on First National's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. First National Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
First National Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First National of has a beta of -0.0919 . This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First National are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First National of is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First National or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First National's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
First National of has an alpha of 0.022, implying that it can generate a 0.022 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a First National Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.First National Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of First National is 2110.36. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.6 and standard deviation of 1.26. The mean deviation of First National of is currently at 0.9. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
First National Pink Sheet Return Volatility
First National historical daily return volatility represents how much of First National pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 1.2639% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7464% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About First National Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of First National or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of First National may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to First's beta indicator, it measures the risk of First National and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of First National fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.First National of Nebraska, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for First National Bank of Omaha that provides various banking products and services. First National of Nebraska, Inc. was founded in 1857 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. First National is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.
First National's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on First Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much First National's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize First National's volatility to invest better
Higher First National's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of First National stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. First National stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of First National investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in First National's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of First National's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
First National Investment Opportunity
First National of has a volatility of 1.26 and is 1.68 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 11 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than First National. You can use First National of to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a normal downward fluctuation but is a risky buy. Check odds of First National to be traded at $11979.0 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between First National of and DJI is -0.05 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First National of and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
First National Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of First National's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First National's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of First National pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0165 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9338 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 6246.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
First National Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against First National as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. First National's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, First National's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to First National of.
Other Information on Investing in First Pink Sheet
First National financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First National security.