FIRST MUTUAL (Zimbabwe) Volatility
| FMP Stock | 123.10 0.00 0.00% |
FIRST MUTUAL is very steady given 3 months investment horizon. FIRST MUTUAL PROPERTIES secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.24, which denotes the company had a 0.24% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We were able to collect and analyze data for twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.07% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use FIRST MUTUAL Downside Deviation of 5.5, market risk adjusted performance of 3.34, and Mean Deviation of 2.74 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away.
FIRST |
FIRST MUTUAL Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of FIRST daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use FIRST's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of FIRST MUTUAL volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of FIRST MUTUAL at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase FIRST stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with FIRST Stock
FIRST MUTUAL Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
FIRST MUTUAL's beta coefficient measures the volatility of FIRST stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents FIRST stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, FIRST MUTUAL's beta of 0.29 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk FIRST MUTUAL stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. FIRST MUTUAL PROPERTIES shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure FIRST MUTUAL's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact FIRST MUTUAL's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze FIRST MUTUAL PROPERTIES Demand TrendCheck current 90 days FIRST MUTUAL correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)FIRST Beta |
FIRST standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.45 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by FIRST MUTUAL's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of FIRST MUTUAL's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in first stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in FIRST MUTUAL.
FIRST MUTUAL PROPERTIES Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which FIRST MUTUAL stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with FIRST MUTUAL's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of FIRST MUTUAL's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of FIRST MUTUAL's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures FIRST MUTUAL's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict FIRST MUTUAL's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for FIRST MUTUAL's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on FIRST MUTUAL's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. FIRST MUTUAL PROPERTIES Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
FIRST MUTUAL Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FIRST MUTUAL has a beta of 0.2907 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FIRST MUTUAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FIRST MUTUAL PROPERTIES will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to FIRST MUTUAL or FIRST sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that FIRST MUTUAL's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FIRST stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
FIRST MUTUAL PROPERTIES has an alpha of 0.9572, implying that it can generate a 0.96 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a FIRST MUTUAL Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.FIRST MUTUAL Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of FIRST MUTUAL is 414.61. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 19.78 and standard deviation of 4.45. The mean deviation of FIRST MUTUAL PROPERTIES is currently at 2.71. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.8
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.96 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
FIRST MUTUAL Stock Return Volatility
FIRST MUTUAL historical daily return volatility represents how much of FIRST MUTUAL stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 4.4476% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8089% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
FIRST MUTUAL Investment Opportunity
FIRST MUTUAL PROPERTIES has a volatility of 4.45 and is 5.49 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 39 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than FIRST MUTUAL. You can use FIRST MUTUAL PROPERTIES to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of FIRST MUTUAL to be traded at 121.87 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between FIRST MUTUAL PROPERTIES and DJI is 0.05 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding FIRST MUTUAL PROPERTIES and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
FIRST MUTUAL Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of FIRST MUTUAL's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FIRST MUTUAL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of FIRST MUTUAL stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1819 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 3.34 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.74 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.5 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 460.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.5 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
FIRST MUTUAL Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against FIRST MUTUAL as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. FIRST MUTUAL's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, FIRST MUTUAL's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to FIRST MUTUAL PROPERTIES.
Complementary Tools for FIRST Stock analysis
When running FIRST MUTUAL's price analysis, check to measure FIRST MUTUAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FIRST MUTUAL is operating at the current time. Most of FIRST MUTUAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FIRST MUTUAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FIRST MUTUAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FIRST MUTUAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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