Freegold Ventures Limited Stock Volatility

FVL Stock  CAD 0.70  0.01  1.41%   
Freegold Ventures secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.21, which denotes the company had a -0.21% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Freegold Ventures Limited exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Freegold Ventures' Standard Deviation of 3.92, variance of 15.35, and Mean Deviation of 3.13 to check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Freegold Ventures' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Freegold Ventures Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Freegold daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Freegold's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Freegold Ventures volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Freegold Ventures can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Freegold Ventures at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Freegold stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Freegold Ventures' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Freegold Stock

  0.8ORE Orezone Gold CorpPairCorr
  0.8INFM Infinico Metals CorpPairCorr

Moving against Freegold Stock

  0.93FFH Fairfax FinancialPairCorr
  0.86TCS TECSYS IncPairCorr
  0.84EIT-UN Canoe EIT IncomePairCorr
  0.83ERE-UN European Residential RealPairCorr
  0.82ENS-PA E Split CorpPairCorr
  0.8DBO D Box TechnologiesPairCorr
  0.77DGS Dividend Growth SplitPairCorr
  0.77OM Osisko MetalsPairCorr
  0.74ET Evertz TechnologiesPairCorr

Freegold Ventures Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Freegold Ventures' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Freegold stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Freegold stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Freegold Ventures's beta of 0.69 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Freegold Ventures stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Freegold Ventures Limited exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.08 and kurtosis of -0.13. Freegold Ventures Limited is a potential penny stock. Although Freegold Ventures may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Freegold Ventures Limited. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Freegold instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Freegold Ventures Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Freegold Ventures correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Freegold Beta

    
  0.69  
Freegold standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  3.77  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Freegold Ventures's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Freegold Ventures' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in freegold stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Freegold Ventures.

Freegold Ventures Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Freegold Ventures stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Freegold Ventures' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Freegold Ventures' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Freegold Ventures' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Freegold Ventures' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Freegold Ventures' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Freegold Ventures' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Freegold Ventures' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Freegold Ventures Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Freegold Ventures Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Freegold Ventures has a beta of 0.694 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Freegold Ventures average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Freegold Ventures Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Freegold Ventures or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Freegold Ventures' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Freegold stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Freegold Ventures Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Freegold Ventures' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how freegold stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Freegold Ventures Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Freegold Ventures Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Freegold Ventures is -482.94. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 14.23 and standard deviation of 3.77. The mean deviation of Freegold Ventures Limited is currently at 3.02. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
3.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Freegold Ventures Stock Return Volatility

Freegold Ventures historical daily return volatility represents how much of Freegold Ventures stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm assumes 3.7726% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8056% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Freegold Ventures Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Freegold Ventures or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Freegold Ventures may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Freegold's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Freegold Ventures and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Freegold Ventures fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses265.3 K278.5 K
Market Cap154.3 M162.1 M
Freegold Ventures' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Freegold Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Freegold Ventures' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Freegold Ventures' volatility to invest better

Higher Freegold Ventures' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Freegold Ventures stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Freegold Ventures stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Freegold Ventures investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Freegold Ventures' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Freegold Ventures' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Freegold Ventures Investment Opportunity

Freegold Ventures Limited has a volatility of 3.77 and is 4.65 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 33 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Freegold Ventures. You can use Freegold Ventures Limited to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Freegold Ventures to be traded at C$0.679 in 90 days.

Average diversification

The correlation between Freegold Ventures Limited and DJI is 0.14 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Freegold Ventures Limited and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Freegold Ventures Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Freegold Ventures' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Freegold Ventures' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Freegold Ventures stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Freegold Ventures Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Freegold Ventures as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Freegold Ventures' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Freegold Ventures' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Freegold Ventures Limited.

Other Information on Investing in Freegold Stock

Freegold Ventures financial ratios help investors to determine whether Freegold Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Freegold with respect to the benefits of owning Freegold Ventures security.