Deutsche California Tax Free Fund Volatility

KCTCX Fund  USD 6.72  0.01  0.15%   
At this stage we consider Deutsche Mutual Fund to be very steady. Deutsche California Tax secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0184, which denotes the fund had a 0.0184% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Deutsche California Tax Free, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Deutsche California's Mean Deviation of 0.1567, coefficient of variation of 2314.35, and Downside Deviation of 0.4705 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.005%. Key indicators related to Deutsche California's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Deutsche California Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Deutsche daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Deutsche's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Deutsche California volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Deutsche California. They may decide to buy additional shares of Deutsche California at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.

Moving together with Deutsche Mutual Fund

  0.78GCGGX Deutsche GnmaPairCorr
  0.8SRMAX Deutsche Short TermPairCorr
  0.95SRMCX Deutsche Short TermPairCorr

Moving against Deutsche Mutual Fund

  0.37KTCCX Deutsche Science AndPairCorr
  0.37KTCAX Deutsche Science AndPairCorr
  0.37KTCIX Deutsche Science AndPairCorr
  0.37KTCSX Deutsche Science AndPairCorr

Deutsche California Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Deutsche California's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Deutsche mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Deutsche mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Deutsche California's beta of -0.11 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Deutsche California mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Deutsche California Tax Free exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.48 and kurtosis of 7.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Deutsche California's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Deutsche California's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Deutsche California Tax Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Deutsche California correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Deutsche Beta

    
  -0.11  
Deutsche standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.27  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Deutsche California's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Deutsche California's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in deutsche mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Deutsche California.

Deutsche California Tax Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Deutsche California fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Deutsche California's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Deutsche California's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Deutsche California's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures Deutsche California's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Deutsche California's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Deutsche California's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Deutsche California's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Deutsche California Tax Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Deutsche California Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Deutsche California Tax Free has a beta of -0.1144 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Deutsche California are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Deutsche California Tax Free is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Deutsche California or DWS sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Deutsche California's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Deutsche fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Deutsche California Tax Free has an alpha of 0.0166, implying that it can generate a 0.0166 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Deutsche California's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how deutsche mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Deutsche California Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Deutsche California Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Deutsche California is 5429.83. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.07 and standard deviation of 0.27. The mean deviation of Deutsche California Tax Free is currently at 0.15. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.74
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.48

Deutsche California Mutual Fund Return Volatility

Deutsche California historical daily return volatility represents how much of Deutsche California fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.2728% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.725% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Deutsche California Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Deutsche California or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Deutsche California may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Deutsche's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Deutsche California and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Deutsche California fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, in securities whose income is free from regular federal and California state income tax. Normally, at least 80 percent of the funds municipal securities are rated in the four highest credit rating categories.
Deutsche California's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Deutsche Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Deutsche California's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Deutsche California's volatility to invest better

Higher Deutsche California's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Deutsche California Tax fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Deutsche California Tax fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Deutsche California Tax investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Deutsche California's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Deutsche California's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Deutsche California Investment Opportunity

Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.73 and is 2.7 times more volatile than Deutsche California Tax Free. 2 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Deutsche California. You can use Deutsche California Tax Free to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The mutual fund experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Deutsche California to be traded at $7.06 in 90 days.

Very good diversification

The correlation between Deutsche California Tax Free and DJI is -0.31 (i.e., Very good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Deutsche California Tax Free and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Deutsche California Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Deutsche California's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Deutsche California's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Deutsche California mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Deutsche California Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Deutsche California as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Deutsche California's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Deutsche California's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Deutsche California Tax Free.

Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Mutual Fund

Deutsche California financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche California security.
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