PAM Mineral (Indonesia) Volatility

NICL Stock   300.00  2.00  0.67%   
As of now, PAM Stock is very steady. PAM Mineral Tbk maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0485, which implies the company had a 0.0485% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for PAM Mineral Tbk, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check PAM Mineral's coefficient of variation of 4974.08, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.57) to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. Key indicators related to PAM Mineral's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
PAM Mineral Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of PAM daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use PAM's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of PAM Mineral volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of PAM Mineral at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase PAM stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.

Moving against PAM Stock

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  0.34BNGA Bank Cimb NiagaPairCorr
  0.34NISP Bank Ocbc NispPairCorr
  0.33BBRI Bank Rakyat IndonesiaPairCorr
  0.32BBNI Bank Negara IndonesiaPairCorr

PAM Mineral Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

PAM Mineral's beta coefficient measures the volatility of PAM stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents PAM stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, PAM Mineral's beta of -0.0639 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk PAM Mineral stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. PAM Mineral Tbk currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PAM Mineral's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PAM Mineral's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze PAM Mineral Tbk Demand Trend
Check current 90 days PAM Mineral correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

PAM Beta

    
  -0.0639  
PAM standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.41  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by PAM Mineral's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of PAM Mineral's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in pam stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in PAM Mineral.

PAM Mineral Tbk Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which PAM Mineral stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with PAM Mineral's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of PAM Mineral's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of PAM Mineral's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures PAM Mineral's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict PAM Mineral's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for PAM Mineral's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on PAM Mineral's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. PAM Mineral Tbk Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

PAM Mineral Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PAM Mineral Tbk has a beta of -0.0639 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PAM Mineral are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PAM Mineral Tbk is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PAM Mineral or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PAM Mineral's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a PAM stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
PAM Mineral Tbk has an alpha of 0.0461, implying that it can generate a 0.0461 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
PAM Mineral's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how pam stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a PAM Mineral Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

PAM Mineral Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of PAM Mineral is 2063.63. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 5.79 and standard deviation of 2.41. The mean deviation of PAM Mineral Tbk is currently at 1.71. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.74
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
2.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

PAM Mineral Stock Return Volatility

PAM Mineral historical daily return volatility represents how much of PAM Mineral stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 2.4067% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7364% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About PAM Mineral Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of PAM Mineral or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of PAM Mineral may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to PAM's beta indicator, it measures the risk of PAM Mineral and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of PAM Mineral fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

3 ways to utilize PAM Mineral's volatility to invest better

Higher PAM Mineral's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of PAM Mineral Tbk stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. PAM Mineral Tbk stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of PAM Mineral Tbk investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in PAM Mineral's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of PAM Mineral's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

PAM Mineral Investment Opportunity

PAM Mineral Tbk has a volatility of 2.41 and is 3.26 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 21 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than PAM Mineral. You can use PAM Mineral Tbk to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of PAM Mineral to be traded at 330.0 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between PAM Mineral Tbk and DJI is -0.02 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding PAM Mineral Tbk and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

PAM Mineral Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of PAM Mineral's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PAM Mineral's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of PAM Mineral stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

PAM Mineral Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against PAM Mineral as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. PAM Mineral's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, PAM Mineral's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to PAM Mineral Tbk.

Other Information on Investing in PAM Stock

PAM Mineral financial ratios help investors to determine whether PAM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PAM with respect to the benefits of owning PAM Mineral security.