Svenska Cellulosa (Sweden) Volatility
SCA-A Stock | SEK 145.00 1.20 0.83% |
Currently, Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget is very steady. Svenska Cellulosa owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0479, which indicates the firm had a 0.0479% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Svenska Cellulosa's Coefficient Of Variation of 1712.39, risk adjusted performance of 0.0486, and Semi Deviation of 1.46 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0779%. Key indicators related to Svenska Cellulosa's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Svenska Cellulosa Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Svenska daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Svenska's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Svenska Cellulosa volatility.
Svenska |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Svenska Cellulosa can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Svenska Cellulosa at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Svenska stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Svenska Cellulosa's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Svenska Cellulosa Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Svenska Cellulosa's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Svenska stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Svenska stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Svenska Cellulosa's beta of -0.25 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Svenska Cellulosa stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.29 and kurtosis of 6.38. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Svenska Cellulosa's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Svenska Cellulosa's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Svenska Cellulosa Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Svenska Cellulosa correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Svenska Beta |
Svenska standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.62 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Svenska Cellulosa's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Svenska Cellulosa's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in svenska stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Svenska Cellulosa.
Svenska Cellulosa Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Svenska Cellulosa stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Svenska Cellulosa's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Svenska Cellulosa's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Svenska Cellulosa's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Svenska Cellulosa's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Svenska Cellulosa's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Svenska Cellulosa's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Svenska Cellulosa's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Svenska Cellulosa Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Svenska Cellulosa Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget has a beta of -0.2471 . This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Svenska Cellulosa are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Svenska Cellulosa or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Svenska Cellulosa's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Svenska stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget has an alpha of 0.118, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a Svenska Cellulosa Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Svenska Cellulosa Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Svenska Cellulosa is 2086.52. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.64 and standard deviation of 1.62. The mean deviation of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget is currently at 1.14. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.74
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Svenska Cellulosa Stock Return Volatility
Svenska Cellulosa historical daily return volatility represents how much of Svenska Cellulosa stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 1.6244% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7309% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About Svenska Cellulosa Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Svenska Cellulosa or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Svenska Cellulosa may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Svenska's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Svenska Cellulosa and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Svenska Cellulosa fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA , a forest products company, develops, produces, and sells forest, wood, pulp, and paper products worldwide. Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Sundsvall, Sweden. Svenska Cellulosa is traded on Stockholm Stock Exchange in Sweden.
Svenska Cellulosa's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Svenska Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Svenska Cellulosa's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Svenska Cellulosa's volatility to invest better
Higher Svenska Cellulosa's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Svenska Cellulosa stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Svenska Cellulosa stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Svenska Cellulosa investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Svenska Cellulosa's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Svenska Cellulosa's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Svenska Cellulosa Investment Opportunity
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget has a volatility of 1.62 and is 2.22 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget is lower than 14 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of Svenska Cellulosa to be traded at kr159.5 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget and DJI is -0.11 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Svenska Cellulosa Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Svenska Cellulosa's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Svenska Cellulosa's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Svenska Cellulosa stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0486 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.33) | |||
Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
Semi Deviation | 1.46 | |||
Downside Deviation | 1.55 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 1712.39 | |||
Standard Deviation | 1.61 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Svenska Cellulosa Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Svenska Cellulosa as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Svenska Cellulosa's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Svenska Cellulosa's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget.
Additional Tools for Svenska Stock Analysis
When running Svenska Cellulosa's price analysis, check to measure Svenska Cellulosa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Svenska Cellulosa is operating at the current time. Most of Svenska Cellulosa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Svenska Cellulosa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Svenska Cellulosa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Svenska Cellulosa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.