Swift Foods (Philippines) Volatility
| SFI Stock | 0.06 0 1.79% |
At this point, Swift Foods is out of control. Swift Foods owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0184, which indicates the firm had a 0.0184% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Swift Foods, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Swift Foods' Semi Deviation of 3.69, risk adjusted performance of 0.0097, and Coefficient Of Variation of 60334.26 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0942%. Key indicators related to Swift Foods' volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Swift Foods Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Swift daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Swift's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Swift Foods volatility.
Swift |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Swift Foods can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Swift Foods at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Swift Foods' stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving against Swift Stock
| 0.51 | ABG | Asiabest Group Inter | PairCorr |
| 0.37 | RFM | RFM Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.36 | VREIT | VistaREIT | PairCorr |
| 0.36 | ECP | Easycall Communications | PairCorr |
Swift Foods Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Swift Foods' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Swift stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Swift stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Swift Foods's beta of 0.43 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Swift Foods stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Swift Foods shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Swift Foods is a penny stock. Although Swift Foods may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Swift Foods. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Swift instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Swift Foods Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Swift Foods correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Swift Beta |
Swift standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 5.11 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Swift Foods's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Swift Foods' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in swift stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Swift Foods.
Swift Foods Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Swift Foods stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Swift Foods' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Swift Foods' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Swift Foods' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Swift Foods' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Swift Foods' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Swift Foods' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Swift Foods' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Swift Foods Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Swift Foods Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Swift Foods has a beta of 0.4332 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Swift Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Swift Foods will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Swift Foods or Consumer Non-Cyclicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Swift Foods' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Swift stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Swift Foods has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Swift Foods Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Swift Foods Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Swift Foods is 5425.6. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 26.14 and standard deviation of 5.11. The mean deviation of Swift Foods is currently at 3.1. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0049 |
Swift Foods Stock Return Volatility
Swift Foods historical daily return volatility represents how much of Swift Foods stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 5.113% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8043% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Swift Foods Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Swift Foods or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Swift Foods may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Swift's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Swift Foods and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Swift Foods fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Swift Foods' volatility to invest better
Higher Swift Foods' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Swift Foods stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Swift Foods stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Swift Foods investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Swift Foods' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Swift Foods' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Swift Foods Investment Opportunity
Swift Foods has a volatility of 5.11 and is 6.39 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Swift Foods is lower than 45 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Swift Foods to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Swift Foods to be traded at 0.0534 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Swift Foods and DJI is 0.07 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Swift Foods and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Swift Foods Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Swift Foods' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Swift Foods' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Swift Foods stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0097 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0056 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.69 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.52 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 60334.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.88 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Swift Foods Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Swift Foods as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Swift Foods' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Swift Foods' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Swift Foods.
Complementary Tools for Swift Stock analysis
When running Swift Foods' price analysis, check to measure Swift Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swift Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Swift Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swift Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swift Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swift Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world | |
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
| Idea Optimizer Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories |