Vistra Energy Corp Stock Volatility
| VST Stock | USD 159.84 5.32 3.44% |
Vistra Energy is very steady given 3 months investment horizon. Vistra Energy Corp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.3, which indicates the firm had a 0.3% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We are able to interpolate and collect twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.22% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Vistra Energy Corp Semi Deviation of 3.17, risk adjusted performance of 0.1904, and Coefficient Of Variation of 420.47 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Key indicators related to Vistra Energy's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Vistra Energy Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Vistra daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Vistra's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Vistra Energy volatility.
Vistra |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Vistra Energy's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Vistra Energy's managers and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Vistra Energy can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Vistra Energy at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Vistra stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Vistra Energy's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Vistra Stock
| 0.87 | KEN | Kenon Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.92 | NRG | NRG Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | PAM | Pampa Energia SA | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | TAC | TransAlta Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | AY | Atlantica Sustainable | PairCorr |
Moving against Vistra Stock
| 0.78 | ELPC | Companhia Paranaense | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | ES | Eversource Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | RNWWW | ReNew Energy Global | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | FE | FirstEnergy Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.58 | HE | Hawaiian Electric | PairCorr |
| 0.37 | ED | Consolidated Edison | PairCorr |
Vistra Energy Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Vistra Energy's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Vistra stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Vistra stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Vistra Energy's beta of 1.6 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Vistra Energy stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Vistra Energy Corp shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vistra Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vistra Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Vistra Energy Corp Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Vistra Energy correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Vistra Beta |
Vistra standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.01 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Vistra Energy's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Vistra Energy's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in vistra stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Vistra Energy.
Vistra Energy Corp Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Vistra Energy stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Vistra Energy's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Vistra Energy's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Vistra Energy's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Vistra Energy's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Vistra Energy's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Vistra Energy's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Vistra Energy's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Vistra Energy Corp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Vistra Energy Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.6006 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vistra Energy will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vistra Energy or Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vistra Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vistra stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Vistra Energy Corp has an alpha of 0.8131, implying that it can generate a 0.81 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Vistra Energy Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Vistra Energy Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Vistra Energy is 329.1. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 16.09 and standard deviation of 4.01. The mean deviation of Vistra Energy Corp is currently at 3.12. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Vistra Energy Stock Return Volatility
Vistra Energy historical daily return volatility represents how much of Vistra Energy stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 4.0116% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Vistra Energy Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Vistra Energy or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Vistra Energy may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Vistra's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Vistra Energy and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Vistra Energy fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 54 M | 49.7 M | |
| Market Cap | 14.2 B | 8.6 B |
Vistra Energy's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Vistra Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Vistra Energy's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Vistra Energy's volatility to invest better
Higher Vistra Energy's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Vistra Energy Corp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Vistra Energy Corp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Vistra Energy Corp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Vistra Energy's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Vistra Energy's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Vistra Energy Investment Opportunity
Vistra Energy Corp has a volatility of 4.01 and is 5.42 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 35 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Vistra Energy. You can use Vistra Energy Corp to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Vistra Energy to be traded at $191.81 in 90 days.Modest diversification
The correlation between Vistra Energy Corp and DJI is 0.29 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vistra Energy Corp and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Vistra Energy Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vistra Energy's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vistra Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Vistra Energy stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1904 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.6333 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.17 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 420.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.24 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Vistra Energy Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Vistra Energy as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Vistra Energy's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Vistra Energy's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Vistra Energy Corp.
Additional Tools for Vistra Stock Analysis
When running Vistra Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vistra Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vistra Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vistra Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vistra Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vistra Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vistra Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.