Virtra Inc Stock Volatility

VTSI Stock  USD 7.72  0.11  1.40%   
VirTra appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. VirTra Inc owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the firm had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for VirTra Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review VirTra's Semi Deviation of 3.18, risk adjusted performance of 0.0649, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1347.44 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to VirTra's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
720 Days Economic Sensitivity
VirTra Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of VirTra daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use VirTra's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of VirTra volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, VirTra's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to VirTra's managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of VirTra at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase VirTra stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.

Moving together with VirTra Stock

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Moving against VirTra Stock

  0.68VTEX VTEXPairCorr
  0.4VERB VERB TECHNOLOGY PANY Downward RallyPairCorr
  0.34ILLRW Triller Group Symbol ChangePairCorr

VirTra Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

VirTra's beta coefficient measures the volatility of VirTra stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents VirTra stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, VirTra's beta of 2.18 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk VirTra stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. VirTra Inc shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure VirTra's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact VirTra's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze VirTra Inc Demand Trend
Check current 90 days VirTra correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

VirTra Beta

    
  2.18  
VirTra standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  4.15  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by VirTra's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of VirTra's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in virtra stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in VirTra.

VirTra Inc Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which VirTra stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with VirTra's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of VirTra's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of VirTra's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures VirTra's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict VirTra's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for VirTra's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on VirTra's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. VirTra Inc Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

VirTra Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.1788 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, VirTra will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to VirTra or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that VirTra's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a VirTra stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
VirTra Inc has an alpha of 0.0521, implying that it can generate a 0.0521 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
VirTra's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how virtra stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a VirTra Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

VirTra Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of VirTra is 911.8. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 17.19 and standard deviation of 4.15. The mean deviation of VirTra Inc is currently at 2.56. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.18
σ
Overall volatility
4.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

VirTra Stock Return Volatility

VirTra historical daily return volatility represents how much of VirTra stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 4.1458% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7522% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About VirTra Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of VirTra or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of VirTra may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to VirTra's beta indicator, it measures the risk of VirTra and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of VirTra fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Market Cap103.8 M109 M
VirTra's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on VirTra Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much VirTra's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize VirTra's volatility to invest better

Higher VirTra's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of VirTra Inc stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. VirTra Inc stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of VirTra Inc investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in VirTra's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of VirTra's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

VirTra Investment Opportunity

VirTra Inc has a volatility of 4.15 and is 5.53 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 36 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than VirTra. You can use VirTra Inc to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of VirTra to be traded at $7.49 in 90 days.

Very weak diversification

The correlation between VirTra Inc and DJI is 0.4 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding VirTra Inc and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

VirTra Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of VirTra's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VirTra's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of VirTra stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

VirTra Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against VirTra as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. VirTra's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, VirTra's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to VirTra Inc.

Complementary Tools for VirTra Stock analysis

When running VirTra's price analysis, check to measure VirTra's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VirTra is operating at the current time. Most of VirTra's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VirTra's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VirTra's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VirTra to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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