Western Forest Products Stock Volatility
| WEF Stock | CAD 0.44 0.01 2.22% |
As of now, Western Stock is out of control. Western Forest Products shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0091, which attests that the company had a 0.0091% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Western Forest Products, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check out Western Forest's Mean Deviation of 2.7, market risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Downside Deviation of 4.54 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0341%. Key indicators related to Western Forest's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Western Forest Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Western daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Western's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Western Forest volatility.
Western |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Western Forest can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Western Forest at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Western stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Western Forest's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Western Stock
Moving against Western Stock
Western Forest Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Western Forest's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Western stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Western stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Western Forest's beta of -0.96 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Western Forest stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Western Forest Products shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Western Forest Products is a potential penny stock. Although Western Forest may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Western Forest Products. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Western instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Western Forest Products Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Western Forest correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Western Beta |
Western standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 3.75 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Western Forest's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Western Forest's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in western stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Western Forest.
Western Forest Products Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Western Forest stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Western Forest's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Western Forest's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Western Forest's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Western Forest's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Western Forest's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Western Forest's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Western Forest's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Western Forest Products Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Western Forest Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Western Forest Products has a beta of -0.9638 . This entailsMost traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Western Forest or Paper & Forest Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Western Forest's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Western stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Western Forest Products has an alpha of 0.1566, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Western Forest Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Western Forest Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Western Forest is 10998.13. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 14.08 and standard deviation of 3.75. The mean deviation of Western Forest Products is currently at 2.79. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.96 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Western Forest Stock Return Volatility
Western Forest historical daily return volatility represents how much of Western Forest stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm assumes 3.7525% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7425% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Western Forest Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Western Forest or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Western Forest may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Western's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Western Forest and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Western Forest fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 75.6 M | 94.5 M | |
| Market Cap | 224.9 M | 213.6 M |
Western Forest's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Western Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Western Forest's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Western Forest's volatility to invest better
Higher Western Forest's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Western Forest Products stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Western Forest Products stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Western Forest Products investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Western Forest's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Western Forest's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Western Forest Investment Opportunity
Western Forest Products has a volatility of 3.75 and is 5.07 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 33 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Western Forest. You can use Western Forest Products to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Western Forest to be traded at C$0.4224 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Western Forest Products and DJI is -0.2 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Western Forest Products and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Western Forest Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Western Forest's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Western Forest's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Western Forest stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0218 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.36 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.54 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 5485.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.68 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Western Forest Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Western Forest as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Western Forest's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Western Forest's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Western Forest Products.
Other Information on Investing in Western Stock
Western Forest financial ratios help investors to determine whether Western Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Western with respect to the benefits of owning Western Forest security.