Bosung Power Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

006910 Stock  KRW 2,585  40.00  1.52%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bosung Power Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 2,744 with a mean absolute deviation of 69.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,260. Bosung Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bosung Power stock prices and determine the direction of Bosung Power Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bosung Power's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Bosung Power is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Bosung Power Technology value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Bosung Power Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bosung Power Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 2,744 with a mean absolute deviation of 69.84, mean absolute percentage error of 7,663, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,260.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bosung Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bosung Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bosung Power Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bosung PowerBosung Power Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Bosung Power Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bosung Power's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bosung Power's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,741 and 2,747, respectively. We have considered Bosung Power's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,585
2,744
Expected Value
2,747
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bosung Power stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bosung Power stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria127.0546
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation69.8391
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0244
SAESum of the absolute errors4260.1845
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Bosung Power Technology. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Bosung Power. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Bosung Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bosung Power Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,6222,6252,628
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,2772,2802,888
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
937.712,5604,182
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bosung Power

For every potential investor in Bosung, whether a beginner or expert, Bosung Power's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bosung Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bosung. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bosung Power's price trends.

Bosung Power Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bosung Power stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bosung Power could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bosung Power by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bosung Power Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bosung Power's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bosung Power's current price.

Bosung Power Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bosung Power stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bosung Power shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bosung Power stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bosung Power Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bosung Power Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bosung Power's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bosung Power's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bosung stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Bosung Power

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bosung Power position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bosung Power will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Bosung Stock

  0.75005930 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.79005935 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.8055550 Shinhan FinancialPairCorr
  0.69005380 Hyundai MotorPairCorr

Moving against Bosung Stock

  0.89035420 NaverPairCorr
  0.83078160 MEDIPOSTPairCorr
  0.78039240 Gyeongnam SteelPairCorr
  0.66041510 SM EntertainmentPairCorr
  0.41059100 i ComponentsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bosung Power could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bosung Power when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bosung Power - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bosung Power Technology to buy it.
The correlation of Bosung Power is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bosung Power moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bosung Power Technology moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bosung Power can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Bosung Stock

Bosung Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bosung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bosung with respect to the benefits of owning Bosung Power security.